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Americans have been saving much more than thought, new data show

July 27, 2018

Americans may not be such spendthrifts after all. U.S. households have been socking away a lot more money in recent years than had been earlier thought, revised government statistics released Friday showed. The savings rate over 2016 and 2017...

2018 Midyear Update

July 1, 2018

In his 2018 Midyear Update, Commonwealth CIO Brad McMillan reviews how the economy and markets have fared in 2018, plus likely risks on the horizon. This content is made possible by Commonwealth Financial Network; it is not written by and does...

Fed raises interest rates; signals 2 more hikes this year for total of 4

June 13, 2018

Federal Reserve officials raised interest rates for the second time this year and upgraded their forecast to four total increases in 2018, as unemployment falls and inflation overshoots their target faster than previously projected. The so-called...

DoubleLine Capital's Gundlach says current debt expansion amid rising interest rates 'unprecedented'

June 13, 2018

The soaring U.S. budget deficit at a time interest rates are rising may be setting the stage for fiscal trouble, according to Jeffrey Gundlach, chief investment officer of DoubleLine Capital. "Here we are doing something that almost seems like...

Exactly how rich is 'rich'?

May 23, 2018

Just how rich is "rich?" The answer, of course, depends on who's asking—and these days, many are. In rich-tropolises such as New York and London, 1 percenters moan that living on $500,000 a year feels Dickensian. With a pot of $40 million—and...

Small caps are losing their immunity to trade jitters

June 27, 2018

A shelter from the storm is starting to sprout leaks. Bearish sentiment is growing on the Russell 2000 Index of small-cap stocks, a group that had seemed relatively immune to the trade-tariff saber-rattling that's recently cast a pall over the...

Advisers take a short-term view of trade skirmishes

June 29, 2018

Heading into a week that includes the July Fourth celebration, it would be easy to overlook or ignore the impact of a potential trade war between the United States and several global trading partners. But savvy financial advisers are paying...

More Than a Trickle: Investment Implications of the Cape Town Water Shortage

April 4, 2018

The water crisis in Cape Town, South Africa, has been making the news in recent weeks with headlines like “Drought-hit South African city risks becoming world's first big metropolis to go dry”1 leaving many stunned. As Cape Town approaches...

Federal Reserve hikes interest rates

March 21, 2018

Federal Reserve officials, meeting for the first time under Chairman Jerome Powell, raised the benchmark lending rate a quarter point and forecast a steeper path of hikes in 2019 and 2020, citing an improving economic outlook. Policy makers...

Money managers parse the current state of the market, and how they advise their clients

May 9, 2018

Nothing -- from rising rates to blowout earnings -- has knocked the stock market out of its tight range over the past two months. Theories abound, but it's all a bit of a mystery. So we asked some of the sharpest money managers to explain just...

Fed seen speeding up rate hikes

February 15, 2018

A growing number of economists expect the Federal Reserve to step up the pace of its interest-rate increases this year after congressional passage of a $300 billion government spending package that is seen lifting U.S. economic growth and inflation....

Why full U.S. employment doesn't include millennials

November 3, 2016

Aggregate unemployment has been hovering at 5%, a huge turnaround from 9.5% at the bottom of the most recent recession. Thus the U.S. is at or close to full employment. Lots of people — some of them quite smart — believe this. Unfortunately,...

Federal Reserve must change course to stop economy's downward trajectory

March 16, 2016

Last June, International Monetary Fund Managing Director Christine Lagarde, surprised everyone by wading into the U.S. interest rate hike discussion. “The inflation rate is not progressing at a rate that would warrant, without risk, a rate...

The rise of Trump, and what it means for markets and advisers

January 20, 2016

It's hard to believe, but 2016 is upon us and Donald Trump is still in the limelight of the Republican presidential race. A year ago, many predicted Mr. Trump would put his foot too far into his mouth at some point and fall out of the race with...

Advice for advisers: Always think about inflation

November 20, 2015

Inflation — and how to outpace it — should always be a top concern for investors. Over the last several years though, it really hasn't. Inflation, as defined by the Consumer Price Index, has been falling for about four years and has now...

Independent advisers are key to economic growth in their communities: Oxford Economics study

October 3, 2016

With America in the thick of election season, we hear one question asked repeatedly in regards to various candidates and policies: “Who is looking out for the middle class?” Political fortunes will rise and fall across the country this November...

Alex Rodriguez and the Federal Reserve rewrite history

August 19, 2015

On a clear July night at Target Field in Minneapolis, 39-year-old New York Yankee Alex Rodriguez swung at a fastball over the plate, driving the ball over the center field fence. With the swing of a bat, A-Rod had hit his third home run of the...

It's all about the economy

July 27, 2015

All eyes are on the economy as September, and a possible Fed rate hike, inch closer. Here's some economic data to get excited about. When you're doing estate plans, don't forget your single clients. In some cases, a single person may need to...

The ongoing rot in the economy

July 22, 2014

While most have been conveniently blaming the tepid first quarter -2.9% GDP growth figure on the weather, we believe that it is just another symptom of a much deeper malaise. As we have argued many times before (see, for example, the March 2014...

Billionaire wealth is not guaranteed forever

March 22, 2016

Getting to the top is hard, but staying there is even harder. In the world of wealth creation, becoming a billionaire is a substantial feat, but staying a billionaire over long periods of time can be an even tougher enterprise. As a UBS-PwC...

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