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Donald Trump to Janet Yellen: 'If I'm elected, you're fired'

April 21, 2016

Donald Trump is determined to illustrate his financial savvy by threatening to replace Janet Yellen as Fed Chair if he is elected. Can't help but wonder if this is the kind of thing that will motivate supporters of Mr. Trump to rush off to vote....

BlackRock, GMO forecast single-digit returns for U.S. stocks

April 19, 2016

Richard Turnill, BlackRock's chief global investment strategist, has some advice for investors: Curb your enthusiasm. And he's not alone. “We see a global portfolio made up of 60% equities and 40% fixed income producing annual returns of just...

Thirst for TIPS funds tempers inflation view

April 17, 2016

If you're an investment adviser, you've probably had The Inflation Talk, which goes roughly like this: You: “I'm using 2% for our inflation estimate...” Client: “You're a moron.” For baby boomers in particular, inflation is a touchy...

Strong March performance pushes stock funds positive for first quarter

April 1, 2016

If your clients are complaining about their bond positions, this would be a good time to remind them about why they own fixed income. Even though stock funds scored big gains in March, they're still trailing bonds for 2016 — and the past 12...

Allianz's El-Erian: What markets need from Friday's U.S. jobs report

March 3, 2016

To withstand headwinds from slower global growth and continued financial volatility, Friday's U.S. employment report for February will need to show continued robust job additions, higher wage growth and a labor participation rate that is edging...

With some juice back in the stock market, a Fed rate hike moves back to center stage

March 3, 2016

Say, what? Now we're back to talking about the possibility of a Fed rate hike again? The mildly encouraging stock market rally. The looming threat of a U.S. recession – or not – depends largely on the sets of data one chooses to study. Economists...

Warren Buffett's investing dos and don'ts

March 2, 2016

For anyone wondering, “What would Warren Buffett do?” the 85-year-old billionaire has given plenty of advice in his public remarks and in annual letters to Berkshire Hathaway Inc. shareholders. It doesn't matter whether you're a home buyer...

Yellen to balance confidence with caution in testimony

February 8, 2016

Janet Yellen is preparing to walk a tightrope. When the Federal Reserve chair addresses lawmakers this week in Washington, she will have to strike a balance between sounding confident on the domestic economy and acknowledging increased risks...

Vanguard rolls out funds with 0.01% expense ratio

January 29, 2016

Vanguard just squeezed its fees a little tighter — a move that could prompt further fee reductions by other fund companies. The biggest eye-opener: A new share class of Vanguard Total Stock Market Index and Total Bond Market Index with operating...

Jeremy Siegel sees a more dovish Fed, discounts market bubbles

January 26, 2016

In stark contrast to the relative mood of the stock market since the start of the year, Jeremy Siegel is embracing his bullish reputation by suggesting that fears of market bubbles are usually exaggerated and incorrect. “'Bubble' is one of...

Jeffrey Gundlach says the Fed is off the mark

January 25, 2016

Jeffrey Gundlach is not a fan of the Fed's current monetary policy, which preliminarily includes eight interest rate hikes over the next two years. Speaking Monday at the Inside ETF conference in Hollywood, Fla., the founder of DoubleLine Capital...

U.S. stocks close lower after late-day rally

January 20, 2016

U.S. stocks surged back to pare the biggest one-day selloff in five months, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average cutting a loss of 550 points by two-thirds as investors speculated the rout that's wiped more than $15 trillion from global equities...

The Fed shows its hawkish side

January 8, 2016

The Fed struts its disconnect with the markets by suggesting that four rate hikes this year might be on the table. The market is thinking maybe two small hikes. “A more aggressive path would be in order.” China reverses course on stock-market...

DoubleLine's Gundlach calls unconstrained bond funds a 'gimmick' and constrained

January 6, 2016

Jeffrey Gundlach doesn't see a bright future for unconstrained bond funds, with the notable exception of his own DoubleLine Flexible Income Fund (DFLEX), which he doesn't really identify as unconstrained. “The category is something of a gimmick,...

No point in comparing Bill Gross' performance at Janus to what he did at Pimco

January 5, 2016

Comparing Bill Gross' past and present performance is like comparing apples and oranges. While it might be tempting to pit the Bond King's new Janus Global Unconstrained Bond Fund (JUCAX) against the Pimco Total Return Fund (PTTRX), they are...

The junk-bond correction is not the next financial crisis

January 4, 2016

All those folks claiming the recent pullback by junk bonds is just like the start of the 2008 financial crisis need to watch the movie 'The Big Short' to understand why they're wrong. There is no surge in junk-bond defaults. It's a brand new...

Economic forecasters predict market volatility in 2016

December 29, 2015

What do all the really smart economic forecasters see for 2016? Volatility, baby. Take advantage of stock price swings. The Fed's tiny little rate hike isn't likely to be enough to derail corporate America's borrowing binge. Next year is expected...

What we'll remember about the markets in 2015

December 29, 2015

Reflecting on 2015, I'm inclined to dub it the year of “It's about time.” After years of taunting and teasing, the Federal Reserve finally pulled the trigger in December with the most hyped 25-basis-point interest-rate hike in history, leading...

'Smart beta' tops the list of 2015 financial-term searches

December 21, 2015

The curiously interesting notion of smart beta was the top financial search term on Investopedia in 2015, and for good reason. 'Not new, not beta, still awesome.' An ETF that concentrates on drone-technology investments? Why not? Being the first...

6 ways the rate hike could be bad for markets

December 18, 2015

The Fed's rate hike could hit the markets in a half dozen, mostly bad, ways. There is no free lunch. If history has taught us anything, it is that the financial services industry is fertile soil for producing the Martin Shkreli's of the world....

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