Results for "treasury bonds"

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Morgan Stanley warns of potential market downside

April 17, 2018

Investors need to prepare for downside because the end of the economic cycle is near and U.S. markets are priced for best-case scenarios, Morgan Stanley says. While fiscal stimulus is supportive of growth in the near term, the benefits are already...

Gundlach says 10-year Treasury above 3% would drive down stocks

March 14, 2018

If the yield on the 10-year Treasury note breaks above 3%, there's a high chance U.S. stocks will end the year down, according to Jeffrey Gundlach, chief investment officer at DoubleLine Capital. "My idea that the S&P would go down on the year...

Money markets undergo sea change

March 13, 2018

While many fixed-income investors may be focused on the specter of higher long-term Treasury yields, there's a sea change afoot at the shorter end — in U.S. money markets. The London interbank offered rate, or Libor, and rates on Treasury...

Stocks could drop 25% if 10-year yield hits 4.5%, Goldman says

February 26, 2018

If the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield hits 4.5% by year-end, the economy would probably muddle through — stocks, not so much, according to Goldman Sachs Group. Goldman's base-case scenario calls for a 10-year yield of 3.25% by the end of 2018,...

Morgan takes on Goldman with bullish bond call

February 26, 2018

Morgan Stanley says it's time to get bullish on bonds — even as Goldman Sachs Group and Warren Buffett issue warnings. The sell-off in Treasuries, which began in earnest in September and ramped up in January, is ending, according to Morgan...

Investing in bond funds when interest rates rise

February 23, 2018

The last time investors faced rising interest rates, one of us was investing paper route money and other wasn't even born yet. In other words, the idea of a rising rate environment isn't something we, or most advisers, have ever had to deal...

U.S. 10-year poised to cross market's red line

February 20, 2018

Enter the danger zone. Bond markets are signaling the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield may reach 3% as early as this week — a potential watershed for risk appetite across asset classes. A deluge of debt supply and the strengthening momentum of...

Inflation bogeyman looms

February 12, 2018

The tug-of-war between stocks and bonds is at the heart of the shakeout roiling financial markets. This week's U.S. inflation report could hold the key to the next phase. Seemingly every time 10-year Treasury yields approached a four-year high...

Pimco views 3% 10-year yield as buying opportunity

February 1, 2018

Pacific Investment Management Co.'s Dan Ivascyn and Mark Kiesel say 3% yields on 10-year Treasuries may be a signal to buy rather than the beginning of a bond bear market that other managers have warned about. "There'll be buyers of bonds if...

Treasury market pummeled in its worst January since 2009

February 1, 2018

The U.S. Treasury market is delivering investors a loss of historic proportions to start 2018. The Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Treasury Index was down 1.42% through Jan. 30. It's on track for the worst start to a year since January 2009, when traders...

Bridgewater's Dalio says bonds face biggest bear market since '80s

January 24, 2018

Billionaire hedge fund manager Ray Dalio said that the bond market has slipped into a bear phase and warned that a rise in yields could spark the biggest crisis for fixed-income investors in almost 40 years. "A 1% rise in bond yields will produce...

Bond investors have more to worry about than a government shutdown

January 19, 2018

Bond yields have marched higher this year, and returns from bond funds have marched lower. Will a government shutdown make things worse? Probably not, provided it's a short-term problem. A bigger worry is a rise in overseas rates, which could...

Bear market for bonds has arrived, Gross says

January 11, 2018

Oprah Winfrey's Golden Globe Awards pronouncement that "Time is up" for men who oppress women also goes for the bond market that's been buoyed by repressed interest rates, according to Bill Gross. "Bonds, like men, are in a bear market," Mr....

Brace for steepest rate hikes since 2006 in new year

December 11, 2017

Wall Street economists are telling investors to brace for the biggest tightening of monetary policy in more than a decade. With the world economy heading into its strongest period since 2011, Citigroup Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. predict average...

The history of bonds — at least since yields hit record lows last year

November 1, 2017

History, as Kurt Vonnegut reminded us, is merely a list of surprises. The next world war will certainly not start with the assassination of an Austro-Hungarian archduke. You're probably not going to make a fortune peddling pet rocks. On the...

Fed to start shrinking portfolio in October

September 20, 2017

Federal Reserve officials set an October start for shrinking their $4.5 trillion stockpile of assets, moving to unwind a pillar of their crisis-era support for the economy. They continued to forecast one more interest-rate hike later this year,...

Major events set stormy tone for financial markets in September

September 5, 2017

Welcome to the cruelest month for U.S. equities. The S&P 500 Index limps into September after stalling amid heightened tensions on the Korean peninsula and historic flooding in Texas. Those broke a stretch of calm that'll be hard to replicate...

Big U.S. banks could see profits jump 20% with deregulation

August 24, 2017

The deregulation winds blowing through Washington could add $27 billion of gross profit at the six largest U.S. banks, lifting their annual pretax income by about 20 percent. JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Morgan Stanley would benefit most from changes...

Advisers bracing for Fed's unprecedented bond sale

July 17, 2017

Nine years after the start of a quantitative easing program that left the Federal Reserve with a record $4.5 trillion balance sheet, market watchers are now speculating how the Fed's plans to start selling those bonds will hit the financial...

Gundlach sees more pain for bond bulls as long Treasuries sell off

July 6, 2017

Hedge funds that built up bullish long-end Treasury wagers to the highest outright level since 2008 are rushing for the exit as a government bond rout that started in Europe following a weak French debt auction spreads to the U.S. market. Thirty-year...

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