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U.S. economy will skip the dip: David Kelly

August 23, 2010

In recent weeks, economic data have been little bit like and Irish summer – consistently disappointing. This in turn has increased fears of a double-dip recession, deflation or both. We believe, on balance, that while the soft patch in the...

High-yield bonds get more heft

August 23, 2010

A weak economy, dropping stock market and low interest rates are bringing a strong boom to the weakest-rated fixed-income sector — high yield — giving investors top relative returns. “It is an attractive alternative to other asset classes,”...

Republicans see economy tanking, but yields tell different tale

August 23, 2010

Former Republican House Speaker Newt Gingrich says Barack Obama's policies are “artificially extending the recession.” Congressman John Boehner, the party's leader in the House, says “stimulus policies aren't working.” Republican Senator...

Famed economist to Fed: Raise rates by 200 basis points

August 23, 2010

Raghuram Rajan accurately warned central bankers in 2005 of a potential financial crisis if banks lost confidence in each other. Now the International Monetary Fund's former chief economist says the Federal Reserve should consider raising rates,...

Bond stampede turning mutual fund world on its head

August 23, 2010

Retail investors in the U.S., burned by two market crashes in a decade, have shunned stocks for the longest stretch in more than 23 years, upsetting the balance of power in the $10.5 trillion mutual-fund industry. Bond funds attracted more money...

The dangers of the growing bond bubble

August 22, 2010

DESPITE A DECADE of bitter experience, we have learned little about the buildup and bursting of speculative bubbles. After the euphoric upward march of technolgy stocks and their subsequent collapse, we ignored signs of an emerging housing bubble....

U.S. stocks decline as S&P 500 heads for lowest close in a month

August 19, 2010

U.S. stocks retreated, with the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index poised for the lowest close in a month, as jobless claims increased to the highest level since November and an index of Philadelphia-area manufacturing fell. Alcoa Inc., General Electric...

Vanguard, Marsico pull out leaves Visa's stock at 'Armageddon' level

August 18, 2010

Vanguard Group Inc. and Marsico Capital Management were the biggest sellers in the second quarter of Visa Inc., the world's largest payments network, as the stock posted its steepest decline in almost two years. Vanguard, previously the third-biggest...

Stanley Druckenmiller closing up shop

August 18, 2010

Stanley Druckenmiller, the hedge- fund icon who boasts one of the best long-term trading records and the distinction of having made $1 billion for George Soros by forcing a devaluation of the British pound in 1992, is closing his firm after...

Investors shedding equities at 2008 levels

August 17, 2010

Asset allocators cut their holdings of U.S. equities this month to levels not seen since 2008 amid concern that the world's largest economy may be weakening, a BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research survey showed. A net 14 percent of respondents,...

What to read into the ‘Hindenburg Omen’

August 17, 2010

Last week's plunge in U.S. stocks triggered a technical indicator known as the Hindenburg Omen that may signal a more severe selloff, according to analysts who follow charts to predict market moves. The market signal, named for a German zeppelin...

Record bond inflows mean 'stocks are a screaming buy'

August 16, 2010

Investors are moving more money than ever before out of stocks and into bonds, widening a valuation gap and convincing some major fund companies and investors that now is the time to buy equities. About $33 billion flowed out of funds owning...

Buffett cuts bond-holding duration on inflation warning

August 15, 2010

After warning that deficit spending could force inflation higher, Warren E. Buffett shortened the duration of bonds held by his Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Twenty-one percent of holdings, including Treasuries, municipal debt, foreign-government...

Pimco's El-Erian: Investors should prep for 'major structural changes'

August 13, 2010

Investors should prepare for “major structural changes” as the economy shifts to consistently slower global growth, according to Mohamed A. El-Erian, chief executive officer at Pacific Investment Management Co. “Forget about being hostage...

Japan-like decade of deflation a ‘real threat,' experts say

August 13, 2010

By some measures, deflation in United States is no longer a question of if, but for how long and how deep. “In a lot of ways the economy is soft and there's absolute deflation in things like computers,” said Barnaby Levin, managing director...

Fed takes step to bolster recovery

August 10, 2010

More worried about the recovery, the Federal Reserve took a small step Tuesday to bolster the economy. Wrapping up a one-day meeting, the Fed said it will use the proceeds from its investments in mortgage bonds to buy government debt on a small...

Fed’s efforts may move markets more than the economy

August 10, 2010

Federal Reserve policy makers meeting today may find the market reaction to any announcement of steps to spur growth will be bigger than the impact on the economy. Options outlined last month by Fed Chairman Ben S. Bernanke include providing...

Buffett shortens bond-holding duration after inflation warning

August 10, 2010

Warren Buffett shortened the duration of bonds held by his Berkshire Hathaway Inc. after warning that deficit spending could force inflation higher. Twenty-one percent of holdings including Treasuries, municipal debt, foreign-government securities...

Goldman slashes S&P 500 forecast

August 9, 2010

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. lowered its year-end forecast for the Standard & Poor's 500 Index to 1,200 from 1,250 and reduced its 2011 earnings projection, citing weakening economic forecasts. S&P 500 companies will post combined profit of $89...

Jamie Dimon: Next crisis could be 2015—before reform kicks in

August 9, 2010

The financial system experiences a crisis “every five to seven years,” JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon told the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission in January. By that measure, the next crash could come by 2015 --...

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