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Economist who called recession's end sees durable recovery

September 23, 2010

Economist Thomas Lam, who accurately forecast 16 months ago when the worst U.S. recession since the Great Depression would end, now says chances of a renewed slump in the coming year are no more than 20 percent. “The main risk to the U.S....

Incite: Cleaning house starts at 1600 Pennsylvania Ave.

September 23, 2010

(Caroline Baum, author of “Just What I Said,” is a Bloomberg News columnist. The opinions expressed are her own.) With the departure of Larry Summers, President Barack Obama has lost three-quarters of his economic team and much of its heft....

Investors' preferred market? It's no longer the U.S.

September 22, 2010

The U.S. has fallen behind emerging markets in Brazil, China and India as the preferred place to invest, a Bloomberg survey shows, though the world's largest economy still ranks highest of all major developed countries. The U.S. ranked first...

Goldman shares lagged CDs – but Blankfein still pocketed $125M

September 22, 2010

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is one of the best-performing financial shares in the past decade and it beat the S&P 500 Stock Index, helping to explain Lloyd C. Blankfein's $125 million in cash bonuses during the period. Some investments did even...

Remember that recession?

September 21, 2010

This just in: The recession that started in December 2007 ended in June 2009, according to the official arbiter of the U.S. business cycle. That will come as a surprise to the 14.9 million unemployed, especially the 6.2 million who have been...

David Kelly: An extended period of easy money

September 21, 2010

The following is the weekly market commentary of David Kelly, the chief market strategist at JPMorgan Funds, for the week of September 20. The week ahead should be dominated by housing data and Tuesday's FOMC meeting. Housing numbers should...

Why Pimco is snapping up bank debt

September 20, 2010

The cost of protecting U.S. corporate bonds from default has fallen below yield premiums by the most since January as concern ebbs that the world’s largest economy will lapse back into recession, giving Pacific Investment Management Co. more...

Stocks set to extend rally ahead of Fed meeting

September 20, 2010

Stocks were set to extend their September rally into a fourth week Monday as traders eye the Federal Reserve's meeting later in the week. There is a growing expectation the Fed's rate-setting committee might relaunch programs to buy Treasurys...

U.S. recession ended in June 2009, says NBER

September 20, 2010

The longest and deepest U.S. recession since the Great Depression ended in June 2009, lasting 18 months, the National Bureau of Economic Research said. “The committee decided that any future downturn of the economy would be a new recession...

Americans face $6.6T shortfall in retirement savings, advocate says

September 19, 2010

Americans must confront a multitrillion-dollar shortfall in savings if they plan to maintain their standard of living during retirement, according to a study released last week. RetirementUSA, an advocacy group, pegs the “retirement income...

Economy to struggle, but ETFs will flourish: State Street's Farley

September 17, 2010

Advisers need to brace for a continued long and slow economic recovery which will last until 2015, one industry leader said this week. But despite the gloomy economic picture there's a positive outlook for ETFs, said Dan Farley, managing director...

Americans face $6.6T shortfall in retirement savings, says advocate

September 16, 2010

Americans must confront a multitrillion-dollar shortfall in savings if they plan to maintain their standard of living during retirement, according to a study released this week. RetirementUSA, an advocacy group, pegs the “retirement income...

Gross bets against deflation — and what a bet it is

September 15, 2010

Bill Gross's Pacific Investment Management Co. made an $8.1 billion wager that the U.S. won't suffer a decade of deflation like the one that crippled Japan starting in the 1990s. That's the notional value of long-term derivative contracts tied...

Trickle-down doesn't, as rich don't spend tax savings: Moody's

September 15, 2010

Give the wealthiest Americans a tax cut and history suggests they will save the money rather than spend it. Tax cuts in 2001 and 2003 under President George W. Bush were followed by increases in the saving rate among the rich, according to data...

Unprecedented number of stock bears as VIX futures recall rally

September 13, 2010

Concern that stocks will plunge has never been higher in global options markets, and that may mean it's time to buy. Futures on the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index are pricing in a three-month gain of 31 percent and contracts...

Fed buying binge will zap Treasury yields, Pimco predicts

September 13, 2010

Bond investors are growing more convinced that Federal Reserve Chairman Ben. S. Bernanke will push Treasury yields down to the levels of the 1950s with another round of asset purchases. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and Pacific Investment Management...

Incite: Cures for recession look a lot like causes of recession

September 13, 2010

Even the most casual observer of the events of the last five years -- the housing bubble, the bust and the digging-out process -- would be struck by the similarities between the policies that got us into this mess and the prescriptions for getting...

Reports of consumer's death greatly exaggerated: Doll

September 13, 2010

Reports of the demise of the U.S. consumer have been exaggerated. Households are reducing their debts and building savings faster than he anticipated, said Richard Berner, co-head of global economics for Morgan Stanley in New York, giving them...

Experts see nearly 1-in-3 chance of double-dip recession

September 12, 2010

The U.S. economy stands a 31% chance of double-dipping into recession in the next year. That's the average of the predictions by economists, chief executives, chief investment officers, portfolio managers and chief strategists of some of the...

Dodd-Frank's unintended consequence

September 12, 2010

The Dodd-Frank financial-reform law has created the potential for great uncertainty in the investment advisory and financial planning business. Two sections of the law are particularly troublesome. First, the law dumped a heavy load onto the...

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