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USA Mutuals Vice Fund's winning strategy in election year: Guns, booze, tobacco and gambling

November 8, 2016

When Americans are worried, they reach for guns, tobacco, slot machines and booze — and that's one reason USA Mutuals Vice fund (VICEX) has done so well this year. Unlike funds that seek to make the world safer and healthier, USA Mutuals Vice...

Cautious investors hedge a Donald Trump presidency to the bitter end

November 8, 2016

It's finally here. Election day for the craziest presidential campaign season in modern history. Based on Monday's stock market rally, some are trusting the polls and the momentum of professional politician Hillary Clinton. But some investors...

The markets fear a contested presidential election

November 7, 2016

The biggest concern for investors right now should be a contested presidential election. Fearing the hanging chads. Regardless of who wins the election, the best bet might be gold. The one certain winner. Could $500,000 be the new number for...

Little bloodshed in bond market so far as interest rates rise

November 4, 2016

Interest rates have been rising since July, and investors have stormed out of bond funds in fear of the most widely anticipated bear market in history. How bad has the carnage been so far? Not so bad. The 10-year Treasury note yield hit 1.366%...

Handful of mutual funds set up for big capital gains distributions

November 4, 2016

So far, 2016 doesn't look like a year in which investors will be hit hard with mutual fund capital gains distributions. But there are some noteworthy standouts. A “handful of doozies.” The official word from Wells Fargo is that the SEC is...

Leadership insights from former President George W. Bush

November 3, 2016

I was fortunate to be invited to have dinner and witness a conversation with the 43rd President, George W. Bush, exactly one week before the election. Given my own sense of frustration with the candidates thrust upon us this year, it was an...

Why full U.S. employment doesn't include millennials

November 3, 2016

Aggregate unemployment has been hovering at 5%, a huge turnaround from 9.5% at the bottom of the most recent recession. Thus the U.S. is at or close to full employment. Lots of people — some of them quite smart — believe this. Unfortunately,...

BlackRock banks on cheaper ETFs

November 2, 2016

BlackRock's ETF price cut is proving to be an out-of-the-gate winner, according to the latest asset flows. The lowest-cost ETFs attract $5B Bank stocks are being singled out as most vulnerable in this election cycle. Bank stocks and the polls....

Boldly betting oil will top out at $50 a barrel

November 1, 2016

Pricing in an oil price top at $50 that Wall Street has not yet realized. It's a strategy. Viewing oil from a demand side, instead of a supply side. The IMF's chief economist is advising the U.S. Fed to tread lightly toward any kind of interest...

Guggenheim bond shop outperforms by taking fearless advantage of Fed policy

November 1, 2016

As Guggenheim Investments closes in on its five-year anniversary as a retail mutual fund shop, it continues to test the limits of bond-portfolio creativity and performance. This year through October, seven of Guggenheim's eight taxable actively...

Fresh FBI investigation of Hillary Clinton sets the markets on edge

October 31, 2016

It could be the ultimate October surprise. A new investigation of Hillary Clinton has set the stock market on edge. The awkward Anthony Weiner connection. Victims of Bernie Madoff see some payback as the estate of deceased money manager Stanley...

Fears of a Federal Reserve move fuel bond market selloff

October 28, 2016

Bond traders are getting skittish as global central bankers test the idea of dialing back the unprecedented monetary easing policies. The market is pricing in a 73% chance of a Fed tightening this year. The mighty Harvard endowment gets called...

Why performance-chasing investors will love the new 5-year rolling averages

October 27, 2016

Investors are constantly reminded to not base future investments on past returns, but the fact that most still do could provide a boost for the markets, according to Jeffrey Kleintop, chief global investment strategist at Charles Schwab & Co....

DOL releases first batch of FAQs on fiduciary rule

October 27, 2016

The Labor Department issued its first set of answers to frequently asked questions about the fiduciary rule Thursday. The FAQs, based on input received from financial services firms and other stakeholders, are “an important part of the regulatory...

Janus in a double whammy as assets flee and revenue drops

October 27, 2016

Janus Capital Group, in process of being bought by Henderson Group, saw $2 billion in assets flee in the third quarter. To make matters worse for Janus, revenues have dropped from lower fees. If you think that regulators are done scrutinizing...

Why the AT&T-Time Warner merger bodes ill for the market

October 26, 2016

Think the AT&T/Time Warner merger is a good thing for the stock market? Think again. History suggests it could be more of a trick than a treat. The odds of getting a tax hike through the House of Representatives are long indeed. Still, the wealthy...

Volatility seen as best way to hedge against political risk

October 26, 2016

Let's say that you were worried about political risk because the elections scare you more than going down to the basement to investigate a screaming furnace. What would be the best way to hedge against it? Forget gold and bonds. Volatility is...

Investors want more government spending

October 25, 2016

The heck with austerity. A growing number of investors want more fiscal stimulus, which is another way of saying “government spending.” What are the biggest non-performing assets at Wells Fargo? The board of directors, says the blog of the...

Investopedia Anxiety Index a step ahead of the VIX?

October 24, 2016

In what could represent a new twist on investment crowdsourcing, the financial encyclopedia website Investopedia has started measuring online searches as a way to forecast activity in the financial markets. Based on some relatively condensed...

Despite the temptation, an all-stock portfolio is crazy

October 24, 2016

In case you needed another reason to diversify beyond just the roaring ride of an all-stock portfolio. Rarely is an investor able to stomach the full ride. Believe it or not, investors are increasing their bets on higher interest rates. Sensing...

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