Results for "treasury bonds"

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Short-dated Treasury ETFs see huge inflows

May 14, 2018

There are signs that the bull market's putative Achilles' heel — crisis-era short-term dollar funding costs — might heal soon. Thank heavy inflows into low-duration funds. Investors seeking to pare interest-rate risk poured a hefty $1.1...

Fidelity manager hasn't been this excited by bonds in five years

May 7, 2018

Fidelity Investments fund manager Jeff Moore hasn't been this excited about the bond market in a long time. The sell-off in U.S. and Canadian bonds has raised yields due within 10 years to levels at which investors can finally get decent returns,...

Bill Gross says Treasuries are in 'hibernating bear market'

May 3, 2018

If billionaire bond investor Bill Gross is right, most of this year's excitement in the Treasury market is behind us and yields won't see a substantial move from here. The Janus Henderson fund manager doesn't see a blowout in yields to much...

What advisers should tell clients about the inverted yield curve

May 2, 2018

Some things seem so abnormal that people take them as omens of doom. For example, if the furnace shouts, "Get out!" every time you go into the basement, you might assume that your house wasn't such a bargain after all. And if the yield on the...

Loomis Sayles' star bond manager talks about rising rates and trade wars

April 19, 2018

Dan Fuss has 59 years of experience in the investment industry, and 42 of them have been with Loomis Sayles. He has run Loomis Sayles Bond fund since 1991, rolling up an averaging an 8.99% annual gain. Over the past 15 years, the fund has outpaced...

Morgan Stanley warns of potential market downside

April 17, 2018

Investors need to prepare for downside because the end of the economic cycle is near and U.S. markets are priced for best-case scenarios, Morgan Stanley says. While fiscal stimulus is supportive of growth in the near term, the benefits are already...

Gundlach says 10-year Treasury above 3% would drive down stocks

March 14, 2018

If the yield on the 10-year Treasury note breaks above 3%, there's a high chance U.S. stocks will end the year down, according to Jeffrey Gundlach, chief investment officer at DoubleLine Capital. "My idea that the S&P would go down on the year...

Money markets undergo sea change

March 13, 2018

While many fixed-income investors may be focused on the specter of higher long-term Treasury yields, there's a sea change afoot at the shorter end — in U.S. money markets. The London interbank offered rate, or Libor, and rates on Treasury...

Stocks could drop 25% if 10-year yield hits 4.5%, Goldman says

February 26, 2018

If the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield hits 4.5% by year-end, the economy would probably muddle through — stocks, not so much, according to Goldman Sachs Group. Goldman's base-case scenario calls for a 10-year yield of 3.25% by the end of 2018,...

Morgan takes on Goldman with bullish bond call

February 26, 2018

Morgan Stanley says it's time to get bullish on bonds — even as Goldman Sachs Group and Warren Buffett issue warnings. The sell-off in Treasuries, which began in earnest in September and ramped up in January, is ending, according to Morgan...

Investing in bond funds when interest rates rise

February 23, 2018

The last time investors faced rising interest rates, one of us was investing paper route money and other wasn't even born yet. In other words, the idea of a rising rate environment isn't something we, or most advisers, have ever had to deal...

U.S. 10-year poised to cross market's red line

February 20, 2018

Enter the danger zone. Bond markets are signaling the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield may reach 3% as early as this week — a potential watershed for risk appetite across asset classes. A deluge of debt supply and the strengthening momentum of...

Inflation bogeyman looms

February 12, 2018

The tug-of-war between stocks and bonds is at the heart of the shakeout roiling financial markets. This week's U.S. inflation report could hold the key to the next phase. Seemingly every time 10-year Treasury yields approached a four-year high...

Pimco views 3% 10-year yield as buying opportunity

February 1, 2018

Pacific Investment Management Co.'s Dan Ivascyn and Mark Kiesel say 3% yields on 10-year Treasuries may be a signal to buy rather than the beginning of a bond bear market that other managers have warned about. "There'll be buyers of bonds if...

Treasury market pummeled in its worst January since 2009

February 1, 2018

The U.S. Treasury market is delivering investors a loss of historic proportions to start 2018. The Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Treasury Index was down 1.42% through Jan. 30. It's on track for the worst start to a year since January 2009, when traders...

Bridgewater's Dalio says bonds face biggest bear market since '80s

January 24, 2018

Billionaire hedge fund manager Ray Dalio said that the bond market has slipped into a bear phase and warned that a rise in yields could spark the biggest crisis for fixed-income investors in almost 40 years. "A 1% rise in bond yields will produce...

Bond investors have more to worry about than a government shutdown

January 19, 2018

Bond yields have marched higher this year, and returns from bond funds have marched lower. Will a government shutdown make things worse? Probably not, provided it's a short-term problem. A bigger worry is a rise in overseas rates, which could...

Bear market for bonds has arrived, Gross says

January 11, 2018

Oprah Winfrey's Golden Globe Awards pronouncement that "Time is up" for men who oppress women also goes for the bond market that's been buoyed by repressed interest rates, according to Bill Gross. "Bonds, like men, are in a bear market," Mr....

Brace for steepest rate hikes since 2006 in new year

December 11, 2017

Wall Street economists are telling investors to brace for the biggest tightening of monetary policy in more than a decade. With the world economy heading into its strongest period since 2011, Citigroup Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. predict average...

The history of bonds — at least since yields hit record lows last year

November 1, 2017

History, as Kurt Vonnegut reminded us, is merely a list of surprises. The next world war will certainly not start with the assassination of an Austro-Hungarian archduke. You're probably not going to make a fortune peddling pet rocks. On the...

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