2013 Lipper Awards
Extra credit
The opportunities in fixed income clearly after a 30-year back--
or 30-year rally in rates. It's kind of difficult to
see fixed income providing you substantial amount of returns. However,
fixed income still has a very solid rule in a
person's portfolio because it still provides some level of protection
and more importantly some level of income, so I think
that's really the right way to think of our fixed
income. And in that context, the preponderance of our assets
that Oppenheimer are in credit assets in fixed income. And
credit as an asset class in that environment where rates
rise because the economy is doing better presumably will do
better than government bonds and safe assets and fixed income.
So we think our relative performance even in that environment
would probably be better. And the best example that I
can give you about that is our Muni franchise which
will do very well or will do reasonable well in
that environment because spreads were tighten. In addition, senior floating
rates strategy which invest in loans which our benchmarked off
of [unk] ought to perform very well in that environment
as well. For any fixed income strategy because the level
of incomes and level of performance is modest relative to
equities where he can have a 2-bagger or 3-bagger. One
of the most important things that you have to make
sure is you're going to dig yourself too bigger hole
and that's what risk control is all about. Our experiences
that risk control add a centralized level as opposed to
a team level. We can do a much better job
because we can analyze risks within a portfolio and compare
those risks to other risks that we are taking in
other parts of Oppenheimer and other strategies and kind of
look at risk holistically. And that gives us insights as
to what are the views that are getting embedded in
people's portfolios. What are the stress scenarios and making sure
that we use those stress scenarios and kind of test
all our portfolios versus the stress scenarios gives us insights
as to how are various strategies are going to perform
in different environment. As far as credit rating and credit
rating agencies are concerned, I think they do a reasonably
good job of corporate credit rating. I ought to give
them credit for that. And they have done a terrible
job of analyzing structured credit. So we clearly do credit
analysis for all aspects of our portfolio whether the structured
credit risk of-- or whether it is corporate risk. But--
and the level of analysis that we do is much
more sophisticated than just looking at the ratings that have
been assigned by the rating agencies. We may stressed a
particular credit or a particular structured credit to see how
well they perform on this various stress scenarios and evaluate
the performance of that particular security and see how that
would fit into portfolio. So, you know, for the most
part, the take-- the rating agencies rating as a given.
However, we don't rely on it as a big driver
for our portfolio construction process. We come up with our
own assessment of the credit and embed that credit in
the portfolio if we like it that particular level.
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