2013 Lipper Awards
Vontobel's Peter Newell on Identifying outperformers
The 2013 Lipper Award winner explains his firm's unique investment strategy and approach to finding stocks that outperform.
We have someone unique investments strategy and then we focus
on a selected number of stocks. We start with the
universe of about 50,000 names and asked simple questions about
profitability, return on assets, return on equity. And we get
a list out to about a thousand and then we
asked some more hard questions to define this investable universe
and what we're looking for stability and margins. Stability and
return on equities. Stability on earnings as the company rewarded
shareholders with dividends. Have they raised their dividends? Have they
taken on debt? What is the capex like? What is
the competition like? And so what we're trying to do
is just start with a field of 550 great businesses
that we think have durable franchises, great balance sheets, management
with a history of rewarding shareholders and then we start
there. So since these stocks are on abundance, we run
concentrated portfolios. We are high quality managers looking for consistent
growth not high growth but sustainable growth. We are completely
benchmark-agnostic which is a hall mark of our investment process.
Actually, we think in many cases especially in emerging markets
and international equities that the risk-- the index is the
risk because of the makeup of the index in the
global cyclicality of the index and the lack of transparency
in the lot of the names. The selection process actually
starts off with a quantitative more mathematical approach. Then we
define the investable universe we think that by starting with
these virtuous companies with long operating histories of rewarding shareholders.
Then we can determine from an analytics standpoint of view.
Now we turn over the fundamental start-- side. Is it
sustainable? Let's start with the great business and then determine
the fundamental research. Is this business-- are these earnings sustainable?
Because overtime price will follow earnings and if earnings continue
to grow so will price overtime, if earnings implode, price
will implode as well. So then the analyst steps in.
We have 10 analysts and we can have 10 analysts
because we only follow by 550 names. Knowledge is king
of the [unk] business takes a long time to get
to know a company. And since we're ride alongside our
investors with our personal money. It's serious business. So when--
since we are benchmark-agnostic and can actually hide behind the
index and running constant portfolios, we need to do a
lot of work and the analyst does a lot of
work. Basically is this franchise sustainable over the next 5
years and then when you're going to pay? The companies
that we have, have certain set of characteristics that runs
across all of the companies whether they be in the
emerging markets. Whether they be in Europe or in the
United States in our global portfolio, so we don't compromise
for quality because of the location of any company. We
know what we're looking for. So each company has the
following characteristics; High return on equity, high return on assets,
high return on invested capital, little to no debt, dominant
market share, high various entry and understandable business with durable
demand and five years of what we think is sustainable
earnings and a good price and that's the common thread
that runs through all of the names that we buy
for our clients. Dividends are important in the investment process
because they are reward for shareholders overtime especially when the
dividends are raised. But it's not essential to the stock-picking
process that we have. We like dividends but we don't
demand dividends. So if you had 2 companies, one growing
at 10 percent with a 2 percent dividend, then one
growing at 15 and they were equal in price. One
growing in 15 would probably have the best total return
overtime. Yes, we do like dividends, they have a way
of anchoring the stock price. It's a reward for shareholders
but it isn't a requirement that we can find a
good growing company that doesn't pay a dividend or still
interested.
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