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No point in comparing Bill Gross' performance at Janus to what he did at Pimco

January 5, 2016

Comparing Bill Gross' past and present performance is like comparing apples and oranges. While it might be tempting to pit the Bond King's new Janus Global Unconstrained Bond Fund (JUCAX) against the Pimco Total Return Fund (PTTRX), they are...

Economic forecasters predict market volatility in 2016

December 29, 2015

What do all the really smart economic forecasters see for 2016? Volatility, baby. Take advantage of stock price swings. The Fed's tiny little rate hike isn't likely to be enough to derail corporate America's borrowing binge. Next year is expected...

What we'll remember about the markets in 2015

December 29, 2015

Reflecting on 2015, I'm inclined to dub it the year of “It's about time.” After years of taunting and teasing, the Federal Reserve finally pulled the trigger in December with the most hyped 25-basis-point interest-rate hike in history, leading...

The bullish outlook for 2016

December 27, 2015

Forget about all that cheap-oil, rising-rates, strong-dollar business, because there are still plenty of arguments for a strong stock market in the year ahead. The bullishness requires a long-term perspective. There's a bit of optimism in the...

Making the case for market-timing with humility

December 23, 2015

After recently referring to market-timers as “circus clowns minus the funny suits,” Morningstar's John Rekenthaler is backtracking and/or clarifying just a bit. Sometimes, today isn't the best day to invest. Those closely-watched Apple shares...

Cheap oil presents new investment opportunities

December 21, 2015

Even as the price of oil falls to an 11-year low, market watchers advise against trying to time the bottom, and instead encourage either buckling in for the long-term or avoiding the commodity altogether. “If you're trying to trade in the...

Rough week doesn't derail the outlook for ETFs

December 18, 2015

Nagging market disruptions in the form of an historic Fed rate hike, plunging commodity prices, and the sudden collapse of the Third Avenue junk bond fund might require some portfolio rejiggering, but not enough to derail the positive momentum...

The bond market selloff has sparked fears that the Fed might not hike rates today

December 16, 2015

Say it ain't so. After seven years at zero, and a full 18 months of teasing about a hike, there's now a real possibility that the Fed might not be able to pull the trigger this afternoon. This is exhausting. Three scenarios replace what was...

The junk-bond selloff is raining on the Fed's rate-hike parade

December 15, 2015

Just when the Fed felt it was safe to move off a zero-rate policy, suddenly all kinds of heck is busting loose in the high-yield bond market. Is it too late for the Fed to change course about a rate hike this week? The junk-bond rout still has...

Managed futures funds capitalizing on junk-bond fallout

December 15, 2015

The carnage unfolding in the high-yield bond market has paved the way for a serious rally among managed futures strategies that are designed to take advantage of precisely these kinds of trends. As usual with alternative-strategy funds, the...

Third Avenue fund collapse may be 'much bigger problem' for bond ETFs

December 14, 2015

Third Avenue Management's abrupt freezing of investor redemptions from its high-yield bond fund may be an early warning signal for bond exchange-traded funds. Investment strategists say that Third Avenue's troubles may be the latest test for...

Third Avenue rattles the junk bond market

December 14, 2015

Third Avenue Management's unprecedented move last week of blocking investor redemptions from its junk-bond fund has clearly rattled the bond markets, but it doesn't mean this is the end of days for fixed income investors. Try not to freak out...

Spreading the blame for oil's freefall

December 11, 2015

The oil price free fall is getting uglier and OPEC isn't the only culprit. Don't overlook the impact of the strong U.S. dollar, and the determination of U.S. production efforts. The 'drop dead price' is $25 to $30 a barrel. What next week's...

Why investing in exclusive alternatives can be an expensive waste of time

December 11, 2015

If financial markets were a nightclub, the VIP room upstairs would be where exotic investments such as hedge funds, art and fine wine, changed hands. To join them, you would need money, connections or both. High-quality collectibles are expensive,...

Oil drops sharply as glut fears take hold

December 8, 2015

Oil drops to levels not seen in more than six years amid speculation the global glut will not end soon. Don't look to oil to spark inflation. For some of us, however, the slide in the price of oil is not all bad news. Lowest gasoline prices...

SEC taking deep dive into role of ETFs in Aug. 24 market drop

November 24, 2015

The role of exchange-traded funds in the market chaos that erupted on Aug. 24 remains a big focus at the SEC. Good or bad? Chairwoman Mary Jo White: 'You'll see us boring into that.' Inflation, inflation, inflation. It's in the headlines but...

Gold goes on a safe-haven rally in the wake of Paris attacks

November 17, 2015

Gold jumps on a safe-haven rally, even as riskier assets like stocks find their own reason to rally. Gold futures rose more than 1% Hillary's big Wall Street backers come to her rescue after the Democratic candidate channels 9/11 to score political...

Financial markets brace for fallout from the Paris terror attacks

November 16, 2015

The financial markets are likely to be swept up in the immediate unrest following Friday's terror attacks in Paris. Pushing the markets in a direction they are already heading, toward reduced risk The Paris terror attacks could rock global financial...

The Fed's monetary policy is making income inequality even worse

November 3, 2015

The numbers are in, and it turns out the $12.4 trillion worth of central bank asset purchases (otherwise known as quantitative easing) have only worsened the reality of income inequality. But at least the stock market is doing well, right? For...

A 60-40 portfolio can no longer deliver growth and inflation protection, investment strategist warns

October 27, 2015

The standard setup of an investment portfolio has too many risks, not the least of which is an expected annual return of 2.2% for a portfolio of 60% stocks and 40% bonds, according to Bob Rice, chief investment strategist at Tangent Capital....

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