Results for "economy / economics"

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Fed scraps 'patient' rate approach in prelude to potential cut

June 19, 2019

The Federal Reserve indicated a readiness to cut interest rates for the first time in more than a decade to sustain a near-record U.S. economic expansion, citing "uncertainties" in their outlook. While chairman Jerome Powell and fellow policy...

Federal Reserve seen on track for rate cut this year

June 14, 2019

The Federal Reserve will likely cut interest rates this year but not nearly as aggressively as investors expect, according to a Bloomberg survey of economists. Respondents to a June 7-12 poll saw policymakers lowering rates by a quarter point...

Mohamed El-Erian puts Democratic tax proposals in perspective

May 7, 2019

With nearly two dozen Democratic candidates now running for president, many of the contenders are trying to stand out from the crowd by proposing various forms of tax hikes on the wealthy and tax breaks for those who aren't yet wealthy. For...

Bob Doll says Fed likely will 'murder' economic growth

April 29, 2019

The next economic recession in the U.S. isn't likely to hit for at least a few years, according to Bob Doll, chief equity strategist and senior portfolio manager at Nuveen. He said the country's near-record period of economic expansion still...

Wealthy US investors sitting on cash despite optimism in economy

May 7, 2019

A majority of wealthy American investors are optimistic about U.S. stocks, but are still sitting on piles of cash, according to a UBS Group survey. A sunny outlook reigned among 57% of the survey's U.S. respondents. The survey, conducted in...

Morgan Stanley bear unbowed after bad call

April 29, 2019

Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson acknowledges he made the wrong call on the U.S. equity market this year. But that hasn't dissuaded him from holding onto one of Wall Street's most bearish forecasts. With the S&P 500 Index at a record high after...

Beware misreading inverted yield curve

March 25, 2019

At the end of last week, the three-month Treasury bills' yield rose above the yield for 10-year Treasuries for the first time since 2007, prompting warnings that the U.S. is headed for recession later this year or in early 2020. That's because,...

Most economists see U.S. recession by 2021

February 25, 2019

More than three-quarters of business economists expect the U.S. to enter a recession by the end of 2021, though a majority still expect the Federal Reserve to continue raising interest rates this year. Ten percent see a recession beginning this...

Growing chasm between rich and poor divides country into two Americas

December 19, 2018

U.S. unemployment is near a 50-year low, economic growth is brisk and the stock market — despite a disappointing 2018 — has paid generous returns since the financial crisis of a decade ago. But not for everyone. The chasm between rich and...

2018 Midyear Update

July 1, 2018

In his 2018 Midyear Update, Commonwealth CIO Brad McMillan reviews how the economy and markets have fared in 2018, plus likely risks on the horizon. This content is made possible by Commonwealth Financial Network; it is not written by and does...

Washington dysfunction will stir 'a lot of market volatility' this year

February 12, 2019

The political dynamic in Washington will likely lead to a bumpier stock market this year, with issues such as the debt limit, trade and oversight hearings looming large, experts said Tuesday morning in New York. The split government, divided...

Outstanding U.S. student loan debt reaches record $1.47 trillion

December 17, 2018

U.S. student loan debt outstanding reached a record $1.465 trillion last month and one particular set of borrowers is having a hard time paying back their loans, according to a Bloomberg analysis of student loan securitization data. This debt...

Independent advisers are key to economic growth in their communities: Oxford Economics study

October 3, 2016

With America in the thick of election season, we hear one question asked repeatedly in regards to various candidates and policies: “Who is looking out for the middle class?” Political fortunes will rise and fall across the country this November...

Wall Street could be facing fewer fines in 2019 as lone SEC Democrat leaves

December 19, 2018

For Wall Street banks and other companies accused of malfeasance, the risk of getting slapped with a big fine by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission will soon drop significantly. That's because Kara Stein, the SEC's lone Democratic commissioner,...

Advice for advisers: Always think about inflation

November 20, 2015

Inflation — and how to outpace it — should always be a top concern for investors. Over the last several years though, it really hasn't. Inflation, as defined by the Consumer Price Index, has been falling for about four years and has now...

Why the Fed won't raise rates this year

May 6, 2015

The Federal Reserve is not going to raise rates in 2015. A bold statement perhaps, but that's the view of DoubleLine Capital, which manages $73 billion in fixed income funds. Investor eyes are keenly focused on the April monthly employment report,...

Americans have been saving much more than thought, new data show

July 27, 2018

Americans may not be such spendthrifts after all. U.S. households have been socking away a lot more money in recent years than had been earlier thought, revised government statistics released Friday showed. The savings rate over 2016 and 2017...

Why full U.S. employment doesn't include millennials

November 3, 2016

Aggregate unemployment has been hovering at 5%, a huge turnaround from 9.5% at the bottom of the most recent recession. Thus the U.S. is at or close to full employment. Lots of people — some of them quite smart — believe this. Unfortunately,...

A deficit theory's backers and smackers

March 26, 2013

InvestmentNews.com recently interviewed Stephanie Kelton, head of the economics department at the University of Missouri-Kansas City, and an outspoken proponent of what's known as modern monetary theory. Followers of MMT believe many economic...

Uncle Sam's conjurring has clients investing in make-believe

February 26, 2013

In recent years, a high degree of economic, financial and political uncertainty has resulted in acute volatility in stocks, real estate, commodities and precious metals. I believe that another aggravating factor has been the increasing skepticism...

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