Results for "treasury bonds"

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Brexit forces a dovish Fed into cowering mode

June 28, 2016

A Fed rate hike this summer? No, no. You've got it all wrong. The Fed is now sheepishly tilting toward a rate cut. The July outlook is now for 0.25% cut. The big bets being made to hedge the Brexit and bank on the looming fallout. The potential...

If all else fails, blame the sluggish economy on demographics

June 24, 2016

You know you're out of logical options when somebody claims that demographics is the reason stocks are yielding more than bonds. It couldn't possibly have anything to do with a dismal economic recovery loaded with stimulus and all manner of...

The high risks facing a low-yield world

June 23, 2016

The low-yield world has turned what used to be the most conservative investments into the riskiest part of a portfolio. There is now $10 trillion worth of government debt 'paying' negative yields. What are investors actually getting from those...

Allianz's El-Erian says the Fed is putting the U.S. economy at risk

June 17, 2016

The critics of the Fed's monetary policy are getting louder. Meanwhile, the Fed continues to march to the beat of its own drummer. Mohamed El-Erian calls out the Fed's clueless strategy. The housing-market bottom line: Rents are likely to keep...

AQR's Asness, Research Affiliates' Arnott agree that a little market timing is okay

June 14, 2016

What was billed as a kind of battle royal between Cliff Asness of AQR and Rob Arnott of Research Affiliates to kickoff day two of the Morningstar conference in Chicago, somehow evolved into a wonky deep dive into how much research each had written...

Bill Gross highlights the dirty downside of negative interest rates

June 13, 2016

Bill Gross lays out the explosive implications of negative interest rates. Just because it feels good doesn't mean it's a good thing. The lowest yields in 500 years of recorded history. Investors are increasingly taking the quiet, calm path...

Today's jobs report might disappoint, but it won't likely move the Fed

June 3, 2016

There are plenty of reasons why Friday's jobs report might be a letdown for the markets. Don't sweat it too much because these aren't the only numbers the Fed is watching. Probably the worst way to buy a closed-end fund is through the IPO, but...

Don't let the fickle Fed hamstring your bond portfolio

May 26, 2016

There are ways to protect your bond holdings from the whims of the Federal Reserve. Think stocks instead of bonds, and invest in other parts of the world. Venture capital investors poured in a record $63 billion last year. Where did it all go?...

Bond ETFs brace for a June rate hike

May 24, 2016

Interest rates are still a long way from anything that could be considered normal, but with the Fed teasing out a rate hike next month there's reason to be mindful of certain bond portfolios. You don't have to banish bond ETFs. The millennials...

Don't rule out a June rate hike by the Federal Reserve

May 17, 2016

The logic behind a Fed rate hike in June is probably no more outlandish than most of what the Fed has done over the past seven years. The Fed might surprise us all next month. A simple guide to finding out if an ETF or mutual fund is right for...

Avoid the TIPS rally. It's merely an inflation head-fake

May 16, 2016

Once upon a time, back when the Federal Reserve was still primarily dedicated to being an apolitical body strictly focused on monetary policy, there was a thing known as inflation, which was often preceded by the threat of inflation. Nowadays,...

Survey of 50 states shows 'stable' finances, for most

May 15, 2016

For municipal bond investors, surveying the 50 states is a bit like attending a high school reunion. Some folks are doing great, while Ralphie and Julie really need to check into rehab. The annual State of the States survey by Conning & Co....

Donald Trump's focus on U.S. debt could hurt retirement accounts

May 11, 2016

The flip side of Donald Trump's focus on U.S. debt could hurt ordinary Americans who own more Treasury bonds than any of the better-known holders of our debt, including China, Japan and Saudi Arabia. Americans own almost $5 trillion in U.S....

Take 5: Allianz's El-Erian says Hillary Clinton has best economic plan

May 11, 2016

A candid chat with Mohamed El-Erian, chief economic adviser at Allianz SE, puts negative interest rates in perspective, grades President Barack Obama's performance on the economy, and hashes out whether Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump will be...

Shedding early light on President Barack Obama's economic legacy

May 8, 2016

Fervor around the presidential campaign last week saw Indiana make headlines in its primary vote that helped solidify the likely candidates who will go head-to-head for the top office in the land in November. Though President Barack Obama still...

Janus Capital's Bill Gross says only the Federal Reserve can save us

May 4, 2016

Bill Gross' call for extreme Fed action and a stronger universal safety net for workers that have been supplanted by technology is music to the ears of Tangent Capital's chief market strategist Bob Rice. “The ideas are accurate,” Mr. Rice...

Donald Trump to Janet Yellen: 'If I'm elected, you're fired'

April 21, 2016

Donald Trump is determined to illustrate his financial savvy by threatening to replace Janet Yellen as Fed Chair if he is elected. Can't help but wonder if this is the kind of thing that will motivate supporters of Mr. Trump to rush off to vote....

BlackRock, GMO forecast single-digit returns for U.S. stocks

April 19, 2016

Richard Turnill, BlackRock's chief global investment strategist, has some advice for investors: Curb your enthusiasm. And he's not alone. “We see a global portfolio made up of 60% equities and 40% fixed income producing annual returns of just...

Thirst for TIPS funds tempers inflation view

April 17, 2016

If you're an investment adviser, you've probably had The Inflation Talk, which goes roughly like this: You: “I'm using 2% for our inflation estimate...” Client: “You're a moron.” For baby boomers in particular, inflation is a touchy...

Strong March performance pushes stock funds positive for first quarter

April 1, 2016

If your clients are complaining about their bond positions, this would be a good time to remind them about why they own fixed income. Even though stock funds scored big gains in March, they're still trailing bonds for 2016 — and the past 12...

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