Hedge funds are making a run for safety, says Goldman

Hedge funds are making a run for safety, says Goldman
Portfolio positioning data show a shift toward defensive stocks as investing pros turn skittish on rate uncertainty.
MAY 02, 2024

Hedge funds are turning increasingly defensive as uncertainty around geopolitics and the path of interest rates, as well as the stock market’s April swoon, has investing pros spooked.

Positioning data shows that hedge fund added defensive equity positions to their portfolio in April at the fastest pace in eight months, while still being net sellers of global stocks, according to figures compiled by Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s prime brokerage desk. That snaps a four-month streak of buying. Health care saw the biggest inflows, while consumer discretionary stocks had the largest net selling in seven months, according Goldman’s data.

“It makes sense that hedge funds would be more defensive,” said Keith Lerner, co-chief investment officer at Truist Wealth. “You had a big first quarter, and now we’re seeing more choppiness and volatility around interest rates and inflation.”

The move came as US stocks made a sharp reversal, with a strong first quarter giving way to an awful April. Concerns about the US economy, consumer sentiment, stubborn inflation and cautious guidance from Corporate America are all weighing on investors.

Defensive sectors have been the worst performers in the S&P 500 over the last 12 months, with utilities, consumer staples and health care stocks among the equity benchmark’s biggest laggards. But with the Federal Reserve seemingly likely to keep interest rates higher for longer, the worst performing equity sectors can be the biggest beneficiaries, according to data tracked by Evercore ISI going back to the 1970s.

Big bets on US health care stocks can be explained by the group’s lack of cyclicality, with investors potentially be seeking a shelter from volatility, said Aaron Dunn, co-head of value equity and portfolio manager at Morgan Stanley Investment Management. Goldman’s data shows that pharmaceuticals, biotech and health care equipment and supplies saw the most buying in April.

Plus, with the S&P 500 Health Care Index trading at 18.6 times projected forward 12-month earnings, versus 27.6 times for information technology, the stocks are comparatively cheap. Those valuations should help encourage a rotation from big-cap tech stocks to value shares because it “builds some defense and diversification in portfolios,” said Vineer Bhansali, chief investment officer at Longtail Alpha LLC.

Latest News

Fiduciary failure: Ex-advisor who sold practice fined after clients lost millions
Fiduciary failure: Ex-advisor who sold practice fined after clients lost millions

A former Alabama investment advisor and ex-Kestra rep has been permanently barred and penalized after clients he promised to protect got caught in a $2.6 million fraud.

Why the evolution of ETFs is changing the due diligence equation
Why the evolution of ETFs is changing the due diligence equation

As more active strategies get packaged into the ETF wrapper, advisors and investors have to look beyond expense ratios as the benchmark for value.

Most asset managers are using AI, but few let it call the shots
Most asset managers are using AI, but few let it call the shots

Survey finds AI widely embedded in research and analysis, but barely touching portfolio construction or trade execution.

LPL, Raymond James score fresh recruits in advisor recruiting battle
LPL, Raymond James score fresh recruits in advisor recruiting battle

Two firms land teams managing more than $1.1 billion in combined assets from Kestra and Edward Jones.

Edward Jones facing more race bias claims in new lawsuit
Edward Jones facing more race bias claims in new lawsuit

A private partnership, Edward Jones is a giant in the retail brokerage industry with more than 20,000 financial advisors.

SPONSORED Are hedge funds the missing ingredient?

Wellington explores how multi strategy hedge funds may enhance diversification

SPONSORED Beyond wealth management: Why the future of advice is becoming more human

As technical expertise becomes increasingly commoditized, advisors who can integrate strategy, relationships, and specialized expertise into a cohesive client experience will define the next era of wealth management