Morgan Stanley strategist who predicted volatility says buy now

Michael Wilson sees the S&P 500 index ending the year 5% above its current level.
FEB 12, 2018

The Morgan Stanley strategist who predicted volatility would ramp up in 2018 says the damage has been done and it's time to buy stocks. Michael Wilson, the firm's chief U.S. equity strategist, said the "volatility shock" that hit equity markets last week has pushed valuations down to attractive levels, with the S&P 500 Index trading at just 16 times forward 12-month earnings per share. This is a "level we believe is too cheap" given that 10-year Treasury yields remain below 3%, Mr. Wilson said in a note to clients Monday. The S&P 500 Index headed higher Monday. As of 2:43 p.m. New York time, it was up 1.63%, or 42.67 points, at 2662.22. Mr. Wilson's recommendation to be a disciplined buyer of stocks at these levels contrasts with his call from a week ago, when he said there was "no rush to buy this dip." But last week's market action, which saw the S&P 500 dip into official correction territory from its Jan. 26 high, changed his tune. Mr. Wilson believes "most of the price damage is over for this correction," although he doesn't expect volatility to return to the extreme calm that characterized 2017. "As a result, we do not expect a quick return to the prior highs although we do think higher highs for the S&P 500 are likely ahead of us before the cycle top later this year," he wrote. Mr. Wilson sees the index ending the year at 2,750, 5% above current levels. (More: How advisers' favorite fund families have fared amid stock volatility)

Latest News

Prediction markets get a new twist: betting on what's already happened
Prediction markets get a new twist: betting on what's already happened

A new platform turns disputed facts into tradable markets, flipping the prediction market model on its head.

Merrill to pay $39 million in cash sweep settlement
Merrill to pay $39 million in cash sweep settlement

The financial advice industry has been facing inquiries into its cash sweep programs for years now.

SEC accuses fund advisor of defrauding SpaceX, OpenAI investors
SEC accuses fund advisor of defrauding SpaceX, OpenAI investors

Investor money allegedly went to strip clubs, exotic cars, and landscaping

RIA moves: Savant enters Thousand Oaks as Procyon lands in New Jersey
RIA moves: Savant enters Thousand Oaks as Procyon lands in New Jersey

Procyon adds $415 million in assets under management in New Jersey while Savant picks up a $213 million Southern California planning firm

Beyond sell or inherit: A third exit for appreciated property
Beyond sell or inherit: A third exit for appreciated property

With a growing number of real estate-rich Baby Boomers aging into retirement, some advisors may be failing to consider all the options available for those clients' assets.

SPONSORED In the Age of AI, Trust Becomes the Advisor's Greatest Asset

As AI makes financial information more accessible than ever, Lana Hock explains why human judgment, trust, and empathy remain the qualities clients value most in a financial advisor

SPONSORED Direct indexing webinar targets tax-loss harvesting amid market swings

Northern Trust’s Ken Lassner shows advisors how to convert volatility into after-tax portfolio gains