Record-high stocks no worry, Goldman's Cohen says

Senior strategist still forecasting 1,900 on the S&P 500 by year-end, which would mean another 6.6% gain on top of the 25% recorded already this year.
NOV 26, 2013
Value remains in the U.S. stock market even after the S&P 500 has surged 25% this year to a record, according to Abby Joseph Cohen, a senior investment strategist at The Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Price-earnings ratios are lower now than the last time stocks were near these levels, Ms. Cohen said in a Bloomberg Radio interview. She forecasts the S&P 500 will reach 1,900 by the end of 2014, a 6.6% gain from Wednesday's close. “Companies right now are increasingly enthusiastic about the dynamism in the economy,” said Ms. Cohen. “There's value in the market right now. The U.S. economy will likely grow faster next year.” On Wednesday, the S&P 500 gained 0.8% to a record 1,782, surpassing a previous high set Oct. 29 and heading for the steepest annual rally in a decade. Ms. Cohen's forecast for the gauge to reach 1,900 by the end of 2014 matches the median estimate in a Bloomberg news survey of strategists this month. Gains in stocks have come as the Federal Reserve maintained its unprecedented stimulus. Ms. Yellen, nominated to be the next chairman of the Fed, said Wednesday in testimony during her confirmation hearing before the Senate Banking Committee that the economy and labor market are performing “far short of their potential” and must improve before the central bank can begin reducing its $85 billion in monthly asset purchases. Ms. Cohen called Ms. Yellen one of the finest policy analysts in the U.S. and deserves to be confirmed. The S&P 500 is trading at 16.1 times projected earnings, compared with a five-year average of 14 times, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Of the more than 450 index members that have reported earnings this season, 75% have posted profit that exceeded analysts' estimates, while 54% beat sales predictions, data compiled by Bloomberg show. (Bloomberg News)

Latest News

RIA moves: The Mather Group deepens DFW presence with Legacy Partnership
RIA moves: The Mather Group deepens DFW presence with Legacy Partnership

Also, Summit Wealth Group nabs a Commonwealth advisor in Tennessee, Oxford Financial adds two managing directors, and Verdence draws an ultra-high-net-worth advisor from Fidelity.

Progress runs on AI. Purpose runs on people
Progress runs on AI. Purpose runs on people

When advisors have tech to handle meeting prep and organization, it frees up time they can reinvest more thoughtfully into helping clients.

Advisor moves: Wells Fargo FiNet lands $580M Ameriprise team
Advisor moves: Wells Fargo FiNet lands $580M Ameriprise team

LPL Financial and Raymond James also add independent advisors from Osaic and Edward Jones in Michigan and Arizona.

M1 Advisor bets AI can serve clients wealth managers turn away
M1 Advisor bets AI can serve clients wealth managers turn away

The SEC-registered RIA advises on more than $1 billion in client assets, with no advisory fee through 2027 and no human financial advisors.

SEC charges Caris Investment Partners in alleged cherry-picking scheme
SEC charges Caris Investment Partners in alleged cherry-picking scheme

95.8% of house trades were winners. For clients? The SEC says just 14.9%.

SPONSORED Built on insurance experience to deliver on long-term promises

Knighthead Life entered the market with a competitive MYGA. A strong launch earned advisor confidence and paved the way for FIAs.

SPONSORED In the Age of AI, Trust Becomes the Advisor's Greatest Asset

As AI makes financial information more accessible than ever, Lana Hock explains why human judgment, trust, and empathy remain the qualities clients value most in a financial advisor