by Andre Janse van Vuuren and Margaryta Kirakosian
Stocks fell alongside bonds, driven by concerns over government finances and lingering inflation risks at a time when equities are hovering near all-time highs.
Futures for the S&P 500 retreated 0.5% as Wall Street returned from a long weekend. Nvidia Corp. led premarket losses among the Magnificent Seven, falling 1.2%. The dollar rose 0.6%, heading for its first advance in six days. Gold hit an all-time high, briefly topping $3,500 an ounce.
Global bonds staged a broad retreat, with the yield on 30-year Treasuries climbing five basis points to 4.98%. Their UK counterparts hit the highest since 1998 amid Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s struggle to restore market confidence. The pound fell more than 1%.
This year’s record-breaking stock rally enters a decisive stretch, with markets about to see whether bets on the first Federal Reserve rate cut of 2025 will play out this month and whether expectations for further easing remain intact. Adding to the pressure are tariff tensions and concerns that President Donald Trump’s attacks on the Fed could stoke inflation.
“I think the long end of the curve should continue to rise because we have big fiscal deficits that need to be funded,” David Zahn, head of European fixed income at Franklin Templeton, told Bloomberg TV. “And how is that going to be done? It will have to be termed out.”
A raft of data is due this week, starting with the Institute for Supply Management’s August surveys of manufacturers and service providers on Tuesday. Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report is expected to show a fourth straight month of sub-100,000 job growth, the weakest stretch since the onset of the pandemic in 2020.
Swaps currently imply a 90% chance of a quarter-point Fed rate cut later this month, with three more similar moves expected by June.
“There’s a lot of caution around moving closer to key US inflation and labor market data,” said Andrea Tueni, head of sales trading at Saxo Banque France. “That warrants some prudence moving forward.”
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This story was produced with the assistance of Bloomberg Automation.
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