This is the way long-term bull markets survive and thrive

Early equals wrong and it isn't until the masses buy every dip that bull markets begin to top out.
JUN 19, 2014
(Part 1 of a 3-part series) The bull market of 2009-2014 has to be one of the most disavowed, unloved bull markets of all time. Each and every time it sees even routine weakness, bears come out of the woodwork with calls of 1929, 1987 and 2007 all over again. And then stocks stop declining and continue on their merry way higher. This is exactly how long-term bull markets survive, thrive and work higher. More: The challenges of an intermediate-term bond bull I can't tell you how many very smart (and some not so smart) industry colleagues have been either calling for the end of the bull market or for a 20% decline for years. I read their weekly newsletters and just scratch my head, not because they are wrong. I am wrong more times than I want to remember. It's okay to be wrong in this business, but you cannot stay wrong for months and months, quarters and quarters. You can't break out prominent interviews and articles from others who are also wrong and use them to substantiate your wrong position. Too many people sit and wait with losing positions and reason it away as being early. In this business, early equals wrong. It isn't until the masses buy every dip that the bull market begins the topping process. Remember, I said “begins” not “bull market immediately ends.” If you remember late 2007 and early 2008, stocks pulled back during the fourth quarter and the masses bought. And when the market had a 20% decline in January 2008, only short-term sentiment became sufficiently negative to support a rally. Intermediate and long-term sentiment remained positive until the Lehman Brothers fiasco, which is why it was difficult to hammer out any type of significant bottom. Paul Schatz is president of Heritage Capital

Latest News

GLP-1 users are trading retirement savings for their prescriptions
GLP-1 users are trading retirement savings for their prescriptions

A Nationwide survey finds 47% of GLP-1 users have never discussed the drugs’ financial impact with an advisor, even as many dip into savings.

Inspired Healthcare sale price of properties is 59% of $1.2 billion sold by advisors
Inspired Healthcare sale price of properties is 59% of $1.2 billion sold by advisors

The hundreds of millions of dollars from a sale of Inspired Healthcare properties does not mean an immediate windfall for investors.

Class action alleges Webull misled investors about China operations
Class action alleges Webull misled investors about China operations

Its SEC filings said one thing - a congressional probe said another.

Investors accuse Netcapital of inflating revenue through sham deals
Investors accuse Netcapital of inflating revenue through sham deals

Sham agreements allegedly padded revenue by 345%.

Pre-retirees are looking for flexibility, security, and guidance when it comes to retirement income: Cerulli
Pre-retirees are looking for flexibility, security, and guidance when it comes to retirement income: Cerulli

"Most pre-retirees are uncomfortable making key retirement income decisions without an advisor's help," said Chris Bailey of Cerulli.

SPONSORED Built on insurance experience to deliver on long-term promises

Knighthead Life entered the market with a competitive MYGA. A strong launch earned advisor confidence and paved the way for FIAs.

SPONSORED In the Age of AI, Trust Becomes the Advisor's Greatest Asset

As AI makes financial information more accessible than ever, Lana Hock explains why human judgment, trust, and empathy remain the qualities clients value most in a financial advisor