Goldilocks: A credit fairytale?

With interest rates and monetary policy locked in for the near term and fiscal policy uncertainties expected to persist, our top-down 2013 outlook is for a low growth, low inflation economic environment. We believe this "Goldilocks" environment — which is neither "too hot" nor "too cold" — could be credit supportive. A bottom-up reading of the credit environment also supports this view, but the story becomes more of a cautionary tale in which investors need to be more selective about their investment choices.