Gross pushes Fed to lift rates, says Americans 'cooked alive' as central bankers dally

Gross pushes Fed to lift rates, says Americans 'cooked alive' as central bankers dally
Janus bond manager says market jolt from hike would be fair trade for long-term health
SEP 28, 2015
By  Bloomberg
Bill Gross said the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates as soon as possible, trading some near-term market losses for longer-term stability and a healthier financial system. If zero interest rates become the long-term norm, economic participants will soon run on empty because their investments aren't producing the gains or cash flow needed to finance past promises in an aging society, he wrote in an investment outlook on Wednesday for Denver-based Janus Capital Group Inc. That's already beginning to happen in the developed world, where Detroit, Puerto Rico, and, he predicts, soon Chicago, struggle to meet their liabilities. 'GET OFF ZERO' “My advice to them is this: get off zero and get off quick,” Mr. Gross urged the central bankers. It's time for a “new thesis” that allows people in developed economies to save, enabling liability-based businesses models to survive and spurring more private investment, “which is the essence of a healthy economy. Near term pain? Yes. Long term gain? Almost certainly. Get off zero now!” (More: Federal Reserve's focus on global economic strength radically alters the rate-hike odds) The Fed last week decided to keep its benchmark rate near zero, showing reluctance to end an era of record monetary stimulus in a time of market turmoil, rising international risks and slow inflation at home. Futures traders are betting the Fed is unlikely to act in October, as they put 41% odds on an increase in December and 48% in January, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. 'REVOLVING SPIT' Mr. Gross joined Janus about a year ago after leaving Pacific Investment Management Co., where he once ran the world's biggest mutual fund. He now oversees the $1.4 billion Janus Global Unconstrained Bond Fund. The fund lost 1.7% this year, putting it behind 76% of similar funds, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. (More: Pimco on the mend but still feeling impact of Gross exit a year later) Mr. Gross underscored that it's not just insurance companies and giant pension funds that are suffering from low interest rates. Investors aren't getting the 8% to 10% returns they counted on to pay for education, health care, retirement or vacation. “Mainstream America with their 401(k)s are in a similar pickle,” he wrote. “They are not so much in a pickle barrel as they are on a revolving spit, being slowly cooked alive while central bankers focus on their Taylor models and fight non-existent inflation,” Mr. Gross said, referring to a rule named for Stanford University economist John Taylor.

Latest News

NASAA moves to let state RIAs use client testimonials, aligning with SEC rule
NASAA moves to let state RIAs use client testimonials, aligning with SEC rule

A new proposal could end the ban on promoting client reviews in states like California and Connecticut, giving state-registered advisors a level playing field with their SEC-registered peers.

UBS sees a net loss of 111 financial advisors in the Americas during the second quarter
UBS sees a net loss of 111 financial advisors in the Americas during the second quarter

Some in the industry say that more UBS financial advisors this year will be heading for the exits.

JPMorgan reopens fight with fintechs, crypto over fees for customer data
JPMorgan reopens fight with fintechs, crypto over fees for customer data

The Wall Street giant has blasted data middlemen as digital freeloaders, but tech firms and consumer advocates are pushing back.

The average retiree is facing $173K in health care costs, Fidelity says
The average retiree is facing $173K in health care costs, Fidelity says

Research reveals a 4% year-on-year increase in expenses that one in five Americans, including one-quarter of Gen Xers, say they have not planned for.

Advisor moves: NY-based Coastline wealth adds three teams with over $430M in assets
Advisor moves: NY-based Coastline wealth adds three teams with over $430M in assets

Raymond James also lured another ex-Edward Jones advisor in South Carolina, while LPL welcomed a mother-and-son team from Edward Jones and Thrivent.

SPONSORED How advisors can build for high-net-worth complexity

Orion's Tom Wilson on delivering coordinated, high-touch service in a world where returns alone no longer set you apart.

SPONSORED RILAs bring stability, growth during volatile markets

Barely a decade old, registered index-linked annuities have quickly surged in popularity, thanks to their unique blend of protection and growth potential—an appealing option for investors looking to chart a steadier course through today's choppy market waters, says Myles Lambert, Brighthouse Financial.