'This recovery has legs,' Gamco's Howard Ward says

Howard Ward wasn't, in fact, wearing bull horns during his presentation Tuesday morning at the Schwab Impact Conference in Washington D.C., but given his outlook for stocks, one could be forgiven for hallucinating it.
NOV 14, 2013
By  JKEPHART
Howard Ward wasn't, in fact, wearing bull horns during his presentation Tuesday morning at Schwab Impact in Washington D.C., but given his outlook for stocks, one could be forgiven for hallucinating it. The chief investment officer for growth equities at Gamco Investors Inc., painted a rosy picture for stocks, suggesting the bull market that's been roaring since the great recession ended is far from over. “This recovery hasn't gotten the respect it deserves,” he said. “The recovery has legs. We've had 52 months of growth and counting. Next year will be the fourth year of record GDP and profits.” While there's been a lot of talk of stocks being expensive at their current 15.9 times forward earnings, Mr. Ward said that when inflation is considered, stocks are actually undervalued at that price-earnings ratio. “There are some areas of the market, like Tesla Motors Inc. [TSLA] and Netflix Inc. [NFLX], that look very frothy and scary,” Mr. Ward said. “But the overall market is not expensively priced given the inflation we're seeing.” Historically, stocks have traded at 16.9 times forward earnings when inflation has trended between 1% and 3%, Mr. Ward said. With inflation next year expected to be around 2%, stocks could see their P/E ratios rise to 17 times forward earnings over the next couple of years, he said. Having said that, Mr. Ward doesn't suggest jumping in whole hog if you've missed out on the stock gains thus far. Instead, he suggests dollar-cost-averaging your way into the market at this point.

Latest News

The 2025 InvestmentNews Awards Excellence Awardees revealed
The 2025 InvestmentNews Awards Excellence Awardees revealed

From outstanding individuals to innovative organizations, find out who made the final shortlist for top honors at the IN awards, now in its second year.

Top RIA Cresset warns of 'inevitable' recession amid tariff uncertainty
Top RIA Cresset warns of 'inevitable' recession amid tariff uncertainty

Cresset's Susie Cranston is expecting an economic recession, but says her $65 billion RIA sees "great opportunity" to keep investing in a down market.

Edward Jones joins the crowd to sell more alternative investments
Edward Jones joins the crowd to sell more alternative investments

“There’s a big pull to alternative investments right now because of volatility of the stock market,” Kevin Gannon, CEO of Robert A. Stanger & Co., said.

Record RIA M&A activity marks strong start to 2025
Record RIA M&A activity marks strong start to 2025

Sellers shift focus: It's not about succession anymore.

IB+ Data Hub offers strategic edge for U.S. wealth advisors and RIAs advising business clients
IB+ Data Hub offers strategic edge for U.S. wealth advisors and RIAs advising business clients

Platform being adopted by independent-minded advisors who see insurance as a core pillar of their business.

SPONSORED Compliance in real time: Technology's expanding role in RIA oversight

RIAs face rising regulatory pressure in 2025. Forward-looking firms are responding with embedded technology, not more paperwork.

SPONSORED Advisory firms confront crossroads amid historic wealth transfer

As inheritances are set to reshape client portfolios and next-gen heirs demand digital-first experiences, firms are retooling their wealth tech stacks and succession models in real time.