Analysts shoot holes in rumored Lincoln-Manulife deal

Acquisition of U.S. company — and its variable annuity business — would hike Manulife's exposure to volatile equity markets
SEP 30, 2010
It's been an eventful few days for Manulife Financial Corp. On Friday, reports began circulating that Manulife — John Hancock Financial Services Inc.'s parent company — was gearing up to buy Lincoln National Corp. Indeed, trading news website Benzinga reported unconfirmed rumors that the Toronto-based Manulife had offered to buy Lincoln for $32 per share. Manulife didn't exactly douse the acquisition rumors when it indicated Monday in a regulatory filing that it planned to raise up to $4 billion from the sale of various securities. But analysts contacted by InvestmentNews say a Manulife-LNC pairing makes little sense. Certainly, LNC's variable annuity business would ratchet up Manulife's risk profile. “Lincoln would just add to Manulife's equity market exposure,” said Mario Mendonca, an analyst at Genuity Capital Markets. Laurie Lupton, a spokeswoman for Manulife, said the company would not comment on the rumors. Lincoln and John Hancock's pension businesses already have plenty of exposure to the equity markets, said Steven D. Schwartz, an analyst with Raymond James & Associates Inc. Boosting its exposure to the extremely volatile stock market is probably not high on Manulife's priority list at the moment. Earlier this month, Fitch Ratings downgraded Manulife's issuer default rating to A from A+, citing its high level of earnings and capital volatility in the second quarter. The agency also said that Manulife's variable annuity guarantees — based in large part on gains in stock prices — were a concern. Mr. Mendonca added that the switch from U.S. to Canadian accounting standards would make Radnor, Pa.-based Lincoln's earnings look less attractive. A call to Laurel O'Brien, a spokeswoman for Lincoln, was not immediately returned. Mr. Mendonca said he didn't expect the $4 billion in capital that Manulife's is raising will be used to purchase Lincoln. In the document filed with the SEC, Manulife says the funds will go toward “general corporate purposes.” Though the match between Manulife and Lincoln may be unlikely, Mr. Schwartz noted that Lincoln itself might make an attractive acquisition target. “It's at a size that can be bought,” he said. “And it has top-10 market share in just about everything you can think of.”

Latest News

People moves: RBC taps Raymond James veteran for Texas complex
People moves: RBC taps Raymond James veteran for Texas complex

Meanwhile, DPL Financial Partners adds two annuity executives and Prime Capital Financial hires a Mid-Atlantic retirement plan consultant

Ex-LPL, special needs advisor pleads guilty in fraud case
Ex-LPL, special needs advisor pleads guilty in fraud case

Andrew Komarow pleaded guilty Thursday in federal court in Hartford to defrauding three financial services companies of close to $3.3 million.

Advisor moves: Raymond James lands $700M Truist team in Naples
Advisor moves: Raymond James lands $700M Truist team in Naples

Elsewhere, Cetera picks up a $210 million Connecticut team from MML, while Wells Fargo FiNet adds a San Diego family practice from LPL

Investor accuses Lasater Capital of hiding $100M in fund defaults
Investor accuses Lasater Capital of hiding $100M in fund defaults

Celebrity endorsements, $500M in claimed assets, and a state regulator stepping in.

American Express to make job cuts as AI revolution ramps up
American Express to make job cuts as AI revolution ramps up

“We needed to become a more agile and efficient organization,” said American Express CEO Stephen Squeri.

SPONSORED Built on insurance experience to deliver on long-term promises

Knighthead Life entered the market with a competitive MYGA. A strong launch earned advisor confidence and paved the way for FIAs.

SPONSORED In the Age of AI, Trust Becomes the Advisor's Greatest Asset

As AI makes financial information more accessible than ever, Lana Hock explains why human judgment, trust, and empathy remain the qualities clients value most in a financial advisor