Concern, optimism felt by bankers over loans

Bank risk managers appear to be a bit more optimistic about the economy than they were 10 months ago, but most still expect mortgage and home equity loan delinquencies to stay the same or rise in the near term, according to a recent survey
APR 10, 2011
Bank risk managers appear to be a bit more optimistic about the economy than they were 10 months ago, but most still expect mortgage and home equity loan delinquencies to stay the same or rise in the near term, according to a recent survey. The Professional Risk Managers' International Association surveyed 216 bankers on behalf of Fair Isaac Corp. in February to get their predictions on how consumer and business loan delinquencies, interest rates and credit requests would fare over the ensuing six months. The survey found a continuing concern about the level of home equity and mortgage delinquencies but a bit more optimism about other types of loans and credit. Although about 81% of those surveyed said that they expected mortgage and home equity delinquencies to stay the same or rise, compared with the previous quarterly survey, more anticipated improvement. About equal numbers of bankers said that credit card and small-business-loan delinquencies would rise, fall or stay the same. In terms of auto loans, 75% said that they expected delinquencies to fall or stay flat, and 85% said that student loan delinquencies would rise or remain the same. Expectations were generally a bit more optimistic than last year.   During the fourth quarter, delinquency rates fell on most consumer loan categories, according to the American Bankers Association Consumer Credit Delinquency Bulletin, released last Tuesday. Bank card accounts that were 30 days or more overdue dropped 36 basis points to 3.28% of all accounts — the lowest level in almost a decade. Housing loans were the worst performers, but delinquencies in those categories largely held steady. Delinquencies in other loan categories fell. The news was largely the result of lower unemployment, said James Chessen, the ABA's chief economist.

Latest News

SEC charges Chicago-based investment adviser with overbilling clients more than $2.5M in fees
SEC charges Chicago-based investment adviser with overbilling clients more than $2.5M in fees

Eliseo Prisno, a former Merrill advisor, allegedly collected unapproved fees from Filipino clients by secretly accessing their accounts at two separate brokerages.

Apella Wealth comes to Washington with Independence Wealth Advisors
Apella Wealth comes to Washington with Independence Wealth Advisors

The Harford, Connecticut-based RIA is expanding into a new market in the mid-Atlantic region while crossing another billion-dollar milestone.

Citi's Sieg sees rich clients pivoting from US to UK
Citi's Sieg sees rich clients pivoting from US to UK

The Wall Street giant's global wealth head says affluent clients are shifting away from America amid growing fallout from President Donald Trump's hardline politics.

US employment report reactions: Overall better than expected, but concerns with underlying data
US employment report reactions: Overall better than expected, but concerns with underlying data

Chief economists, advisors, and chief investment officers share their reactions to the June US employment report.

Creative Planning's Peter Mallouk slams 'offensive' congressional stock trading
Creative Planning's Peter Mallouk slams 'offensive' congressional stock trading

"This shouldn’t be hard to ban, but neither party will do it. So offensive to the people they serve," RIA titan Peter Mallouk said in a post that referenced Nancy Pelosi's reported stock gains.

SPONSORED How advisors can build for high-net-worth complexity

Orion's Tom Wilson on delivering coordinated, high-touch service in a world where returns alone no longer set you apart.

SPONSORED RILAs bring stability, growth during volatile markets

Barely a decade old, registered index-linked annuities have quickly surged in popularity, thanks to their unique blend of protection and growth potential—an appealing option for investors looking to chart a steadier course through today's choppy market waters, says Myles Lambert, Brighthouse Financial.