Bullish investors primed to drive stock rally, says BofA

Bullish investors primed to drive stock rally, says BofA
US stocks and global equities will be the biggest beneficiaries as dollars rotate from cash, suggests survey.
JUN 18, 2024

Global investors are likely to keep pumping money into record-hitting stock markets, according to a survey by Bank of America Corp.

Answering a question about the asset class that would benefit most from a reallocation of money-market funds, 32% of respondents opted for US stocks. Another 19% said the cash would go into global equities, while a quarter of the respondents indicated they would buy government bonds.

The survey — conducted from June 7 to 13 and canvassing 206 participants with $640 billion in assets under management — showed investors remained the most bullish since November 2021, with cash levels in money-market funds at a three-year low. Cash funds currently have about $6.1 trillion in assets, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Long bets on the so-called Magnificent Seven technology behemoths such as Microsoft Corp. and Nvidia Corp. now stand at 69% — among the most single crowded trades in history, the survey showed.

US stocks have rallied to all-time highs, driven by the buzz around artificial intelligence as well as optimism that the prospects for easing inflation would allow the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates this year. A 15% rally in the S&P 500 this year has lifted the benchmark’s forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio to 21, well above a long-term average of 16, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Still, the valuations haven’t deterred a range of Wall Street strategists, including at Citigroup Inc. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc., from turning even more bullish on the outlook for the S&P 500.

Bank of America’s poll showed 41% of fund managers expect large-cap growth stocks to continue to drive the US rally. Big tech has contributed nearly three quarters of the S&P 500’s rally this year, with Nvidia alone driving 34% of the gains, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Latest News

RIA dealmaking accelerates as three firms hit AUM milestones
RIA dealmaking accelerates as three firms hit AUM milestones

Wealth Consulting Group, Coastline and Maridea report fresh capital, acquisitions and asset growth as advisor M&A keeps climbing

VastAdvisor closes $1 million SAFE round from advisor-side backers
VastAdvisor closes $1 million SAFE round from advisor-side backers

Carson Group's Dani Fava, Jason Pereira of Woodgate Financial, and Sally George of Convergency Partners led the raise as the growth-tech startup builds out its AI platform and leadership bench.

Wells Fargo adds three advisor practices as recruiting rebound continues
Wells Fargo adds three advisor practices as recruiting rebound continues

New teams from William Blair, Ameriprise and UBS bring more than $560 million in combined client assets to the firm's employee and independent channels.

UBS will pay advisors 'handsomely' for banking starting next year
UBS will pay advisors 'handsomely' for banking starting next year

Regulators this year approved UBS Bank USA’s conversion to a nationally chartered bank.

SEC accuses Tricolor executives of hiding $800 million collateral hole
SEC accuses Tricolor executives of hiding $800 million collateral hole

How a subprime lender’s car-loan bonds allegedly unraveled before bankruptcy.

SPONSORED Direct indexing webinar targets tax-loss harvesting amid market swings

Northern Trust’s Ken Lassner shows advisors how to convert volatility into after-tax portfolio gains

SPONSORED Who builds the income when the pension disappears?

Dan Biagini of American Equity says the steady decline of pensions, longer lifespans and a reset in interest rates are rewriting how advisors build retirement income