China stock-market drop to get worse before it gets better — but it will rebound eventually

China stock-market drop to get worse before it gets better — but it will rebound eventually
It's premature to think that Chinese stocks have hit rock bottom, but investing for the long term means getting in at the right time and riding out inevitable storms.
JUL 28, 2015
The greatest one-day drop in Chinese stocks in eight years on Monday is not a signal that markets have bottomed out in China, according to financial advisers, who nevertheless urge investors — including those with China exposure in their portfolio — to keep a long-term perspective. “It would be best to stay away from Chinese stocks for now,” said David Kudla, founder and chief executive of Mainstay Capital Management. “Efforts in China [to reverse the bear market] haven't worked.” His investment advisory firm started selling its Chinese positions in May and eliminated its last-remaining investments in June. Before that, the firm enjoyed gains from China's nine-month bull market, he said. The Shanghai Composite Index fell more than 8.5% on Monday after China's markets had been relatively stable for nearly three weeks following an effort by the government in Beijing to stop a market selloff. The rout marked the largest one-day fall since Feb. 27, 2007. Before the Chinese government announced a rescue plan on July 8, the country's markets had fallen about 30% from their highs in early June. NO IMPACT ON INVESTORS' LONG-TERM HEALTH Fritz Brauner, president of The Brauner Company, said he trusts the fund managers he's chosen to make the best moves in those markets, while he keeps investors focused on the long term. “I help clients keep perspective and not get distracted, even by this pretty spectacular news,” he said. “This won't have an impact on their long-term financial health.” In recent weeks, some fund managers had begun selling off China shares. (More: Major index punts on adding China's booming markets to global indexes) China's rout on Monday pushed European stocks down 2% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average down about 150 points, or 0.86%, as of 1:30 p.m. New York time. “Valuations are so high; air is not done coming out of the Chinese stock market bubble yet,” Mr. Kudla said. Nigel Green, founder and chief executive of deVere Group, said the latest drop shows investors remain uncertain. He said the Chinese government will need to do more to boost domestic consumption and avoid a more significant economic slowdown. 'CHINA-PROOF' PORTFOLIOS Mr. Green said investors “should consider 'China-proofing' their portfolios to manage risk and benefit from the inevitable buying opportunities. "The best way to achieve this is to ensure that portfolios are properly balanced across regions, assets and industries and to work with a good fund manager who will be able to help take advantage of these opportunities,” he said.

Latest News

No succession plan? No worries. Just practice in place
No succession plan? No worries. Just practice in place

While industry statistics pointing to a succession crisis can cause alarm, advisor-owners should be free to consider a middle path between staying solo and catching the surging wave of M&A.

Research highlights growing need for personalized retirement solutions as investors age
Research highlights growing need for personalized retirement solutions as investors age

New joint research by T. Rowe Price, MIT, and Stanford University finds more diverse asset allocations among older participants.

Advisor moves: RIA Farther hails Q2 recruiting record, Raymond James nabs $300M team from Edward Jones
Advisor moves: RIA Farther hails Q2 recruiting record, Raymond James nabs $300M team from Edward Jones

With its asset pipeline bursting past $13 billion, Farther is looking to build more momentum with three new managing directors.

Insured Retirement Institute urges Labor Department to retain annuity safe harbor
Insured Retirement Institute urges Labor Department to retain annuity safe harbor

A Department of Labor proposal to scrap a regulatory provision under ERISA could create uncertainty for fiduciaries, the trade association argues.

LPL Financial sticking to its guns with retaining 90% of Commonwealth's financial advisors
LPL Financial sticking to its guns with retaining 90% of Commonwealth's financial advisors

"We continue to feel confident about our ability to capture 90%," LPL CEO Rich Steinmeier told analysts during the firm's 2nd quarter earnings call.

SPONSORED How advisors can build for high-net-worth complexity

Orion's Tom Wilson on delivering coordinated, high-touch service in a world where returns alone no longer set you apart.

SPONSORED RILAs bring stability, growth during volatile markets

Barely a decade old, registered index-linked annuities have quickly surged in popularity, thanks to their unique blend of protection and growth potential—an appealing option for investors looking to chart a steadier course through today's choppy market waters, says Myles Lambert, Brighthouse Financial.