Federal Reserve reveals first rate decision for 2025

Federal Reserve reveals first rate decision for 2025
Following a widely-held hold prediction, the FOMC dropped more hints on its inflation concerns while apparently maintaining distance from President Donald Trump.
JAN 29, 2025

The Federal Reserve has made its first policy rate announcement for 2025 with a decision to hold interest rates.

With the non-move, the Federal Reserve's policy rate now stands at a target range of 4.25 percent to 4.5 percent.

The decision is in line with a fearless forecast from Former Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan, who told CNBC News on Monday that it would be the right thing for the central bank to "do nothing" this week. Traders and economists also unanimously expected a wait-and-see stance from the Fed leading up to the decision.

In its statement Wednesday afternoon, the Fed highlighted ongoing concerns with inflation, stating that it "remains somewhat elevated."

A December inflation read released in mid-January showed the core consumer price index rose by a less-than-forecast 0.2 percent in the month, following a four-month streak of 0.3 percent increases. Those data point to continued progress towards the Fed's 2 percent target, according to Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Tom Barkin

Jobs data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics earlier this month also showed nonfarm payrolls increasing by 256,000, shattering virtually all expectations. The unemployment rate declined to 4.1 percent, and average hourly earnings rose 0.3 percent relative to November.

"The unemployment rate has stabilized at a low level in recent months, and labor market conditions remain solid," the FOMC statement said. "The Committee judges that the risks to achieving its employment and inflation goals are roughly in balance."

The newly instated Trump administration has wasted no time acting on its policy agenda with a barrage of executive orders within the second-time president's first two weeks in office. As the impact of those actions on the economy remains to be seen, the Federal Reserve appeared to keep an objective stance as it strives to maintain its independence the political arena.

"The Committee would be prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of the Committee's goals," the FOMC said. "The Committee's assessments will take into account a wide range of information, including readings on labor market conditions, inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and financial and international developments."

Meanwhile, President Donald Trump himself has shown a clear willingness to weigh in on monetary policy. Addressing leaders at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Trump said he would not hesitate to press the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, Reuters reported previously.

"With oil prices going down, I'll demand that interest rates drop immediately, and likewise they should be dropping all over the world," Trump said.

Trump's chest-thumping continued in a subsequent White House press event, where he seemingly implied that when it comes to setting monetary policy, he's more qualified than Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and other officials at the central bank.

"I think I know interest rates much better than they do, and I think I know it certainly much better than the one who's primarily in charge of making that decision," he said.

Latest News

Texas man says SEC and fund could make him pay twice
Texas man says SEC and fund could make him pay twice

A $141M judgment and a federal asset freeze collide over one shrinking pool

Osaic executives Kristy Britt and Greg Cornick to leave
Osaic executives Kristy Britt and Greg Cornick to leave

The firm's CFO and EVP of Wealth Management Solutions are the latest executives to exit the broker-dealer.

Estate planning becomes a client retention issue for financial advisors, survey finds
Estate planning becomes a client retention issue for financial advisors, survey finds

Clients are saying they would consider switching advisors if another professional offered estate planning services, according to a new Trust & Will survey.

Candidly adds AI agents for Trump Accounts, workplace benefits
Candidly adds AI agents for Trump Accounts, workplace benefits

CEO Laurel Taylor says the fintech's composable AI stack helps workers optimize dollars across Trump Accounts, 529s, 401(k)s, and other employee benefits.

BMO adds three advisors in Dallas amid Y'all Street wealth boom
BMO adds three advisors in Dallas amid Y'all Street wealth boom

The bank has swiped three private banking veterans from BNY as the city climbs the ranks of America's fastest-growing wealth hubs.

SPONSORED Who builds the income when the pension disappears?

Dan Biagini of American Equity says the steady decline of pensions, longer lifespans and a reset in interest rates are rewriting how advisors build retirement income

SPONSORED Why direct indexing stopped being optional

Direct indexing is on pace to outgrow ETFs and mutual funds. Northern Trust's Ken Lassner explains why the advisors who get it wish they had started sooner.