Higher-than-expected core CPI likely pushes back Fed rate cuts

Higher-than-expected core CPI likely pushes back Fed rate cuts
The 0.4% rise in March's core consumer price index adds to evidence that progress on taming inflation may be stalling.
APR 10, 2024

A measure of underlying US inflation topped forecasts for a third straight month in March, signaling persistent price pressures that will likely delay any Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts until later in the year.

The so-called core consumer price index, which excludes food and energy costs, increased 0.4% from February, according to government data out Wednesday. From a year ago, it advanced 3.8%, holding steady from the prior month.

Economists see the core gauge as a better indicator of underlying inflation than the overall CPI. That measure climbed 0.4% from the prior month and 3.5% from a year ago, an acceleration from February that was boosted by higher energy prices, Bureau of Labor Statistics figures showed.

MetricActualEstimate
CPI MoM+0.4%+0.3%
Core CPI MoM+0.4%+0.3%
CPI YoY+3.5%+3.4%
Core CPI YoY+3.8%+3.7%

Wednesday’s report adds to evidence that progress on taming inflation may be stalling, despite the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates at a two-decade high. With a strong labor market still powering household demand, officials have been adamant they’d like to see more evidence that price pressures are sustainably cooling before lowering borrowing costs.

Treasury yields and the dollar jumped while S&P 500 index futures tumbled. Swaps traders slashed the degree to which they see the Fed will cut rates this year.

Retirement savings gap persists despite bull market, Ascensus CEO says

Latest News

Russell Investments to be acquired by B Capital-led investor group
Russell Investments to be acquired by B Capital-led investor group

B Capital and pension giant CalPERS lead a consortium buying the 90-year-old asset manager from TA Associates and Reverence Capital Partners.

AI use reshapes advisor satisfaction and deepens client trust, separate studies reveal
AI use reshapes advisor satisfaction and deepens client trust, separate studies reveal

Using artificial intelligence can have benefits for both advisors and their clients, according to new research.

Names of more B-Ds that sold deals of bankrupt Inspired Healthcare surface
Names of more B-Ds that sold deals of bankrupt Inspired Healthcare surface

Broker-dealers that sold the defunct securities backed by Inspired Healthcare generated more than $100 million in fees and commissions.

MetLife poll finds high-value home sales are becoming tax-planning events
MetLife poll finds high-value home sales are becoming tax-planning events

A new MetLife survey finds real estate professionals are increasingly steering clients toward tax experts as rising property values leave more sellers facing significant capital gains.

SPONSORED Who builds the income when the pension disappears?

Dan Biagini of American Equity says the steady decline of pensions, longer lifespans and a reset in interest rates are rewriting how advisors build retirement income

SPONSORED Why direct indexing stopped being optional

Direct indexing is on pace to outgrow ETFs and mutual funds. Northern Trust's Ken Lassner explains why the advisors who get it wish they had started sooner.