Investors, especially millennials, have unrealistic expectations about annual returns: study

Investors, especially millennials, have unrealistic expectations about annual returns: study
The average stock market yield globally is only 3.8%, but Americans expect 11% annually.
JUN 16, 2016
By  Bloomberg
Incredibly optimistic. That's the attitude of investors around the world toward the minimum annual income they want from their investments. The average expectation in a recent survey: 9.1%. Americans and millennials set the bar highest, at 11.1% and 10.2%, respectively. The average stock market yield globally: 3.8%. And benchmark interest rates in major developed markets are at 0.5% or lower — or negative. The expectations of financial advisers also appear high, according to the new global investor study by asset manager Schroders. The study, which surveyed 20,000 investors across 28 countries, found that advisers around the globe wanted to generate a minimum of 7.9% a year for clients — lower than what the investors wanted but still high given the low interest rates. U.S advisers cited 5% as their target for annual investment income. At the same time, global risk tolerance seems low. Investors want to get that 9.1% with little risk to principal, and they don't expect to hold their investments through market cycles. A little over three years was the average holding time cited for investors (3.4 years for U.S. investors); for advisers it was an average of 4.3 years (5.3 years for U.S. advisers). Those holding periods "may be fine for cash and certain types of bonds," the report concluded, "but it will often prove too short a time period to counteract the volatility associated with equities." Fewer than 20% of respondents said they hold their investments for at least five years. Then there are the millennials. Talk about youthful optimism. Their average income expectation of 10.2% a year, according to the study, compares with 8.4% for investors 36 and older. Twenty percent of millennials were hoping for annual income from their investment of 15% or more. They don't want to hold investments long, either. Two-fifths said they were "comfortable with holding assets less than a year." But wait. A cadre of wildly hopeful respondents skewed the study results somewhat, so overall expectations aren't quite as outlandish as they seem. For example, while 18% of advisers wanted investment income of at least 10%, and 7% cited 20% or more, 49% had more realistic expectations of an annual income stream of 2% to 5%. Some investors are worried about the bite that inflation can take out of their income. Almost 8% cited beating inflation as the top reason for choosing an investment. The same percentage cited the importance of getting back at least what they invested. How many cited "the long-term potential growth of the amount invested" as the top criterion? That would be 7.8%.

Latest News

Fintech bytes: FP Alpha rolls out estate insights feature
Fintech bytes: FP Alpha rolls out estate insights feature

Also, wealth.com enters Commonwealth's tech stack, while Tifin@work deepens an expanded partnership.

Morgan Stanley, Atria job cut details emerge
Morgan Stanley, Atria job cut details emerge

Back office workers and support staff are particularly vulnerable when big broker-dealers lay off staff.

Envestnet taps Atria alum Sean Meighan to sharpen RIA focus
Envestnet taps Atria alum Sean Meighan to sharpen RIA focus

The fintech giant is doubling down on its strategy to reach independent advisors through a newly created leadership role.

LPL, Evercore welcome West Coast breakaways
LPL, Evercore welcome West Coast breakaways

The two firms are strengthening their presence in California with advisor teams from RBC and Silicon Valley Bank.

Supreme Court slaps down brokerage's appeal vs. FINRA expulsion case
Supreme Court slaps down brokerage's appeal vs. FINRA expulsion case

The high court's decision rebuffing Alpine Securities marks a setback for a broader challenge to Wall Street's reliance on self-regulatory organizations.

SPONSORED Beyond the dashboard: Making wealth tech human

How intelliflo aims to solve advisors' top tech headaches—without sacrificing the personal touch clients crave

SPONSORED The evolution of private credit

From direct lending to asset-based finance to commercial real estate debt.