Large-cap investors sell themselves short - again

SEP 29, 2013
Investors in the biggest large-cap mutual funds have been their own worst enemies since the financial crisis. In other news, grass is green. Investors are notoriously bad market timers, and over the past five years, it has cost them a chance at actually beating the market. Heading into the financial crisis, investors in the 10 biggest large-cap mutual funds had the best chance of outperforming the S&P 500 over the next five years, provided that they actually stayed invested the whole time. Of course, hindsight is 20/20, and none of them could have known it at the time, so it shouldn't come as a surprise that most didn't stick it out. Over the five-year period ended Aug. 31, which included the collapse of Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. in 2008, the S&P 500's 42% free fall to the bear market's bottom and its subsequent 130% rally, five of the 10 biggest large-cap-stock funds have posted better annualized returns than the benchmark. Just 37% of all large-cap-stock funds can boast the same, according to Lipper Inc. The Fidelity Contrafund (FCNTX), in August 2008 the third-largest fund, had a five-year annualized return of 7.94%, beating the S&P 500's 7.32% return over the same period. The American Funds Washington Mutual Investor Fund (AWSHX), fourth-largest, the Vanguard Windsor Fund II (VWNFX), eighth-largest, the Vanguard Primecap Fund (VPMCX), ninth-largest, and the T. Rowe Price Growth Stock Fund (PRGFX), 10th-largest, each beat the index's 7.32% return, as well.

NOTHING TO BRAG ABOUT

The average investor in those funds probably isn't bragging about the funds' return at any cocktail parties, though. The average investor return, which takes into account buying and selling behavior, for all but one of the funds was much lower because investors were busy selling, according to Morningstar Inc. The average investor return for the Contrafund over the five-year period was just 6.16%, more than 100 basis points lower than its actual return, according to Morningstar. The average investor returns for the American Funds Washington Mutual Investor Fund, the Vanguard Windsor Fund II and the Vanguard Primecap Fund each was less than 6%. Only investors in the T. Rowe Price Growth Fund enjoyed the full market cycle's outperformance. The average investor return over the past five years in the fund was 8.85%, beating the fund's 8.63% return. The investor returns underscore that patience is one of the most important qualities that financial advisers must have when using actively managed funds. Finding a good manager, with a repeatable process, that doesn't charge outrageous fees is only half the challenge when using actively managed mutual funds. Sticking with a manager through down years may even be the biggest challenge. After all, five years from now, it may be funds such as the American Funds Growth Fund of America (AGTHX) or the American Funds Investment Co. of America Fund (AIVSX) that are sporting the best 10-year annualized returns, even though both have underperformed these past five years.

Latest News

BREAKING: Osaic executives Kristy Britt and Greg Cornick to leave
BREAKING: Osaic executives Kristy Britt and Greg Cornick to leave

The firm's CFO and EVP of Wealth Solutions are the latest executives to exit the broker-dealer.

Estate planning becomes a client retention issue for financial advisors, survey finds
Estate planning becomes a client retention issue for financial advisors, survey finds

Clients are saying they would consider switching advisors if another professional offered estate planning services, according to a new Trust & Will survey.

Candidly adds AI agents for Trump Accounts, workplace benefits
Candidly adds AI agents for Trump Accounts, workplace benefits

CEO Laurel Taylor says the fintech's composable AI stack helps workers optimize dollars across Trump Accounts, 529s, 401(k)s, and other employee benefits.

BMO adds three advisors in Dallas amid Y'all Street wealth boom
BMO adds three advisors in Dallas amid Y'all Street wealth boom

The bank has swiped three private banking veterans from BNY as the city climbs the ranks of America's fastest-growing wealth hubs.

UBS moves toward full-service US bank as plans to extend wealth business
UBS moves toward full-service US bank as plans to extend wealth business

Employee accounts, crypto trials and job cuts frame a pivotal year for the Swiss lender.

SPONSORED Who builds the income when the pension disappears?

Dan Biagini of American Equity says the steady decline of pensions, longer lifespans and a reset in interest rates are rewriting how advisors build retirement income

SPONSORED Why direct indexing stopped being optional

Direct indexing is on pace to outgrow ETFs and mutual funds. Northern Trust's Ken Lassner explains why the advisors who get it wish they had started sooner.