Not your average bear market, analyst says

"We would urge caution for investors attempting to call the bottom in the current environment," a Merrill strategist wrote.
JUN 23, 2008
Rising food and energy costs, an ailing financial sector and a hobbled consumer are evidence that the economy has a "worse-than-average recession" and potentially the worst economic decline in more than three decades, wrote Brian Belski, U.S. sector strategist at Merrill Lynch & Co. Inc. in New York. ``This is not your average recession,'' he wrote. ``We would urge caution for investors attempting to call the bottom in the current environment.'' Mr. Belski noted that the economy has always relied heavily on the consumer, and found: "It is hard to believe that the current economic slowdown will be an 'average' recession as the consumer continues to weaken." Household net worth has crossed into negative territory for the first time since the 2001 recession, Mr. Belski said. He also noted that there are several parallels to the recession that took place between 1973 and 1975, such as higher oil prices, increased food costs and a weak dollar.

Latest News

Veteran Calif. advisor at center of $50M customer complaint sidesteps Morgan Stanley’s clawback
Veteran Calif. advisor at center of $50M customer complaint sidesteps Morgan Stanley’s clawback

Sam Su worked at UBS Financial Services in San Francisco from 2008 to 2023 before jumping to Morgan Stanley.

RIA moves: Beacon Pointe buys $905M firm, ASN lands Commonwealth team
RIA moves: Beacon Pointe buys $905M firm, ASN lands Commonwealth team

Wealthspire’s Ground Control is also expanding in London, adding a business manager focused on music and global touring

Investor alleges Arbor Realty Trust misled market on $1.25B loan mess
Investor alleges Arbor Realty Trust misled market on $1.25B loan mess

The REIT allegedly promised investors a fix while the problem grew by $200M.

When is one fund really a substitute for another?
When is one fund really a substitute for another?

Fund categories are a useful starting point – but they can hide meaningful differences.

John Hancock and Great Gray bring private markets into target-date CITs
John Hancock and Great Gray bring private markets into target-date CITs

New Lifetime Blend+ suite aims to help 401(k) savers build retirement income beyond traditional public market allocations.

SPONSORED Best Practices for Engaging Women Around Alternatives

Growing wealth, evolving priorities, and untapped opportunities are reshaping how women approach long-term investing.

SPONSORED Built on insurance experience to deliver on long-term promises

Knighthead Life entered the market with a competitive MYGA. A strong launch earned advisor confidence and paved the way for FIAs.