Stock futures point to a lower opening

NOV 19, 2009
Stock futures are pointing toward a lower opening Thursday following the lead of overseas markets and ahead of a weekly report on unemployment. Asian markets were mostly lower amid fresh worries about the financial sector as Japan's biggest bank, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, said it plans to raise $11.2 billion to shore up its balance sheet. European markets were also lower. Investors looking for a signs of an improving U.S. economy will focus Thursday on the Labor Department's weekly unemployment report. An unexpected drop in home construction kept investors on edge about a recovery and helped push U.S. stocks lower Wednesday. "What we're seeing is a market consolidating at the upper end of the trading range," said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at New York-based brokerage house Avalon Partners Inc. The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development increased its forecast for economic growth in 2010 in its 30 member countries, but cautioned any recovery will be slow and bumpy because of high unemployment. The Paris-based group said unemployment is not expected to peak until the end of 2010 or the beginning of 2011. The weekly report on jobless claims is expected to show workers seeking unemployment benefits for the first time rose by 3,000 to a seasonally adjusted 505,000 last week, according to economists polled by Thomson Reuters. The modest increase would come after claims fell by 30,000 in the previous two weeks. A job recovery is likely to be slow, but traders have been focused on any signs of improvement after the unemployment rate eclipsed 10 percent last month. Consumers worried about their jobs have cut back on spending, which has slowed a recovery. Consumer spending accounts for more than two-thirds of all economic activity so investors are looking for any signs that shoppers are more likely to start spending again. Ahead of the opening bell, Dow Jones industrial average futures fell 66, or 0.6 percent, to 10,338. Standard & Poor's 500 index futures declined 9.50, or 0.9 percent, to 1,099.00, while tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index futures fell 13.75, or 0.8 percent, to 1,786.75. The market is likely being weighed down further by a recent analyst downgrade of the chip sector, Cardillo said. Investors will also get a private reading on the U.S. economy later Thursday. Economists predict the Conference Board's index of leading economic indicators likely rose 0.5 percent, which would be the seventh consecutive month of growth. However the results show only a modest recovery taking place. A report that is in line or exceeds expectations would likely reverse the early morning trend in stocks or at least "cushion the market from any major decline," Cardillo said. The report is due out at 10 a.m. EST. Stocks slipped modestly Wednesday after a disappointing report showed home construction fell 10.6 percent in October to an annual rate of 529,000 units, well below the pace of 600,000 forecast by economists. Building permits, a key indication for future activity, slid 4 percent. Worse-than-expected forecasts from the technology sector also weighed on the market. The Dow and S&P dipped 0.1 percent, while the Nasdaq fell 0.5 percent. Meanwhile, bond prices rose modestly Thursday. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, fell to 3.36 percent from 3.37 percent late Wednesday. The yield on the three-month T-bill, considered one of the safest investments, rose to 0.03 percent from 0.02 percent. The dollar mostly rose against other major currencies, while gold prices declined. Overseas, Japan's Nikkei stock average fell 1.3 percent. In afternoon trading, Britain's FTSE 100 was declined 0.5 percent, Germany's DAX index fell 0.8 percent, and France's CAC-40 declined 0.9 percent.

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