Student debt defaults set for a comeback

Student debt defaults set for a comeback
Legal challenges to student loan forgiveness programs and data on consumer debt point to a profound reckoning for borrowers.
SEP 09, 2024

The challenges student debt-saddled Americans face to keep up with payments are set to worsen next month as the upcoming expiration of crucial protections threaten to push them closer to the edge of delinquency.

A recent report by the Government Accountability Office found about 10 million borrowers were behind on payments as of January, including two-thirds who were overdue by more than three months – a signal of potential debt default. 

As a report by Bloomberg noted, student debt currently doesn't count against borrowers' credit scores thanks to a Biden administration moratorium temporarily halting missed payments from reflecting on their reports. But that one-year reprieve is set to end next month, leading to concerns that a large swath of student loan holders will fall into delinquency.

Government data show that student loan repayments have declined since the pandemic. While payments resumed last year, transfers from the Department of Education to the Treasury have dropped from $7 billion last summer to $4.1 billion last month. This marks the lowest reading since 2014, excluding the pandemic-related freeze.

The pressure of student debt was also clear to see in a survey conducted by the Harris Poll on behalf of Bright Horizons. It found that among US workers with student loan debt, two-thirds (68 percent) felt their education wasn't worth it, and an even larger 80 percent majority said it has been a huge burden. Another 43 percent reported student debt had a negative impact on their mental health, and 41 percent said it had affected their future plans.

Many borrowers have turned to government programs, including eight million who've enrolled in the Biden Administration's SAVE plan, which adjusts payments based on household size and earnings. However, legal challenges have complicated the implementation of these programs, including court rulings that put a freeze on the White House's SAVE initiative.

Biden's various student debt forgiveness efforts have led to roughly $168.5 billion being forgiven to date, and data from the Federal Reserve of New York suggest the decades-long advance in US student debt has stopped at $1.6 trillion since late 2020. But all told, the trend of student debt delinquencies and defaults typically outpacing other types of debt, a pattern that showed in pre-pandemic data, looks set for a comeback.

 

Latest News

Names of more B-Ds that sold deals of bankrupt Inspired Healthcare surface
Names of more B-Ds that sold deals of bankrupt Inspired Healthcare surface

Broker-dealers that sold the defunct securities backed by Inspired Healthcare generated more than $100 million in fees and commissions.

MetLife poll finds high-value home sales are becoming tax-planning events
MetLife poll finds high-value home sales are becoming tax-planning events

A new MetLife survey finds real estate professionals are increasingly steering clients toward tax experts as rising property values leave more sellers facing significant capital gains.

Kestra adds Raymond James recruiter to expand advisor hiring push
Kestra adds Raymond James recruiter to expand advisor hiring push

The independent broker-dealer expands its business development bench with a new recruiter and an internal promotion in the West.

Cerity Partners names Will Peng chief innovation officer
Cerity Partners names Will Peng chief innovation officer

The leading ultra-high-net-worth RIA joins other large wealth firms, including Raymond James and LPL, in creating executive roles focused on artificial intelligence strategy

SPONSORED Who builds the income when the pension disappears?

Dan Biagini of American Equity says the steady decline of pensions, longer lifespans and a reset in interest rates are rewriting how advisors build retirement income

SPONSORED Why direct indexing stopped being optional

Direct indexing is on pace to outgrow ETFs and mutual funds. Northern Trust's Ken Lassner explains why the advisors who get it wish they had started sooner.