'This recovery has legs,' Gamco's Howard Ward says

Howard Ward wasn't, in fact, wearing bull horns during his presentation Tuesday morning at the Schwab Impact Conference in Washington D.C., but given his outlook for stocks, one could be forgiven for hallucinating it.
NOV 14, 2013
By  JKEPHART
Howard Ward wasn't, in fact, wearing bull horns during his presentation Tuesday morning at Schwab Impact in Washington D.C., but given his outlook for stocks, one could be forgiven for hallucinating it. The chief investment officer for growth equities at Gamco Investors Inc., painted a rosy picture for stocks, suggesting the bull market that's been roaring since the great recession ended is far from over. “This recovery hasn't gotten the respect it deserves,” he said. “The recovery has legs. We've had 52 months of growth and counting. Next year will be the fourth year of record GDP and profits.” While there's been a lot of talk of stocks being expensive at their current 15.9 times forward earnings, Mr. Ward said that when inflation is considered, stocks are actually undervalued at that price-earnings ratio. “There are some areas of the market, like Tesla Motors Inc. [TSLA] and Netflix Inc. [NFLX], that look very frothy and scary,” Mr. Ward said. “But the overall market is not expensively priced given the inflation we're seeing.” Historically, stocks have traded at 16.9 times forward earnings when inflation has trended between 1% and 3%, Mr. Ward said. With inflation next year expected to be around 2%, stocks could see their P/E ratios rise to 17 times forward earnings over the next couple of years, he said. Having said that, Mr. Ward doesn't suggest jumping in whole hog if you've missed out on the stock gains thus far. Instead, he suggests dollar-cost-averaging your way into the market at this point.

Latest News

Dimon and Trump talk economy and Fed rates as meetings resume
Dimon and Trump talk economy and Fed rates as meetings resume

President meets with ‘highly overrated globalist’ at the White House.

NASAA moves to let state RIAs use client testimonials, aligning with SEC rule
NASAA moves to let state RIAs use client testimonials, aligning with SEC rule

A new proposal could end the ban on promoting client reviews in states like California and Connecticut, giving state-registered advisors a level playing field with their SEC-registered peers.

Could 401(k) plan participants gain from guided personalization?
Could 401(k) plan participants gain from guided personalization?

Morningstar research data show improved retirement trajectories for self-directors and allocators placed in managed accounts.

UBS sees a net loss of 111 financial advisors in the Americas during the second quarter
UBS sees a net loss of 111 financial advisors in the Americas during the second quarter

Some in the industry say that more UBS financial advisors this year will be heading for the exits.

JPMorgan reopens fight with fintechs, crypto over fees for customer data
JPMorgan reopens fight with fintechs, crypto over fees for customer data

The Wall Street giant has blasted data middlemen as digital freeloaders, but tech firms and consumer advocates are pushing back.

SPONSORED How advisors can build for high-net-worth complexity

Orion's Tom Wilson on delivering coordinated, high-touch service in a world where returns alone no longer set you apart.

SPONSORED RILAs bring stability, growth during volatile markets

Barely a decade old, registered index-linked annuities have quickly surged in popularity, thanks to their unique blend of protection and growth potential—an appealing option for investors looking to chart a steadier course through today's choppy market waters, says Myles Lambert, Brighthouse Financial.