'This recovery has legs,' Gamco's Howard Ward says

Howard Ward wasn't, in fact, wearing bull horns during his presentation Tuesday morning at the Schwab Impact Conference in Washington D.C., but given his outlook for stocks, one could be forgiven for hallucinating it.
NOV 14, 2013
Howard Ward wasn't, in fact, wearing bull horns during his presentation Tuesday morning at Schwab Impact in Washington D.C., but given his outlook for stocks, one could be forgiven for hallucinating it. The chief investment officer for growth equities at Gamco Investors Inc., painted a rosy picture for stocks, suggesting the bull market that's been roaring since the great recession ended is far from over. “This recovery hasn't gotten the respect it deserves,” he said. “The recovery has legs. We've had 52 months of growth and counting. Next year will be the fourth year of record GDP and profits.” While there's been a lot of talk of stocks being expensive at their current 15.9 times forward earnings, Mr. Ward said that when inflation is considered, stocks are actually undervalued at that price-earnings ratio. “There are some areas of the market, like Tesla Motors Inc. [TSLA] and Netflix Inc. [NFLX], that look very frothy and scary,” Mr. Ward said. “But the overall market is not expensively priced given the inflation we're seeing.” Historically, stocks have traded at 16.9 times forward earnings when inflation has trended between 1% and 3%, Mr. Ward said. With inflation next year expected to be around 2%, stocks could see their P/E ratios rise to 17 times forward earnings over the next couple of years, he said. Having said that, Mr. Ward doesn't suggest jumping in whole hog if you've missed out on the stock gains thus far. Instead, he suggests dollar-cost-averaging your way into the market at this point.

Latest News

Beyond the Business: Why Advisors Must Help Owners Separate Wealth from Identity
Beyond the Business: Why Advisors Must Help Owners Separate Wealth from Identity

For business owners, the company is often more than an income source. It becomes their largest asset, their retirement plan, and in many cases, part of their identity. Advisors who understand that dynamics can deliver far greater value than traditional financial planning alone

Ex-Edward Jones advisor gets three-year prison sentence for stealing from widow
Ex-Edward Jones advisor gets three-year prison sentence for stealing from widow

John S. Winslow, 57, was indicted just over a year ago for his scheme to steal from an elderly client.

Vestmark, Hamachi push AI further for advisor portfolio intelligence
Vestmark, Hamachi push AI further for advisor portfolio intelligence

Hamachi's new model portfolio partnership and an industry-first solution from Vestmark join the growing wave of AI tools for wealth managers.

Advisor moves: Cetera's enterprise channel draws experienced Osaic duo in California
Advisor moves: Cetera's enterprise channel draws experienced Osaic duo in California

Meanwhile, LPL attracted a five-advisor team managing $380 million in Kansas, while a veteran with stripes from Morgan Stanley, UBS, and Fidelity has joined Prime Capital Financial.

Dynasty CEO teases 'Virtual Shirl' as RIA execs debate AI's workforce impact
Dynasty CEO teases 'Virtual Shirl' as RIA execs debate AI's workforce impact

At Goldman Sachs’ RIA conference, Dynasty’s Shirl Penney said an AI clone trained on his emails and speeches could be the first of “hundreds of digital employees.”

SPONSORED Beyond wealth management: Why the future of advice is becoming more human

As technical expertise becomes increasingly commoditized, advisors who can integrate strategy, relationships, and specialized expertise into a cohesive client experience will define the next era of wealth management

SPONSORED Durability over scale: What actually defines a great advisory firm

Growth may get the headlines, but in my experience, longevity is earned through structure, culture, and discipline