Trump rally on verge of setting a record

FEB 24, 2017
By  Bloomberg

The Trump bump keeps growing. Consecutive gains in the Dow Jones Industrial Average have left it at the doorstep of history, including a 20% surge in futures from the early hours of Nov. 9 that could be loosely framed as the president's own bull market. The 120-year-old measure has set a record on 10 straight days — the longest streak since the Ronald Reagan administration. Two more would tie it for the longest ever. How does the future look when stock prices jump this fast? There's good and bad news. The last time it happened, in January 1987, the Dow dropped 11% over the next year as the market endured one of its worst crashes. The previous occurrence in March 1964 saw the index climb 9.3% over 12 months. The Dow's continuing streak of all-time highs is the longest since it closed at a record 12 straight times in 1987. If the run got to 13, that would be the longest ever, according to Bloomberg data dating back to 1952. Records aside, the Dow's streak of daily gains is also the longest in almost four years and would tie for the longest in 25 years with a jump Friday. To be sure, the contour of the rally has evolved since its first weeks, and not in an altogether good way. Energy stocks, one of the leading groups of the post-election surge, have faltered, down 2.5% this month. Small-cap shares thought to benefit most from Trump's domestic growth agenda have also slowed, adding just 2.4% in February after surging 16% in the month following the vote. Investors are putting more money into equities. Traders have poured $45 billion into American stock ETFs and mutual funds in four months after yanking money in seven of the past nine years, data compiled by Investment Company Institute and Bloomberg show. ​

Latest News

Why more Americans are raiding their retirement savings for emergencies
Why more Americans are raiding their retirement savings for emergencies

New Vanguard and FINRA data show Americans increasingly vulnerable to financial shocks, with hardship withdrawals and cash-outs reaching a new high.

Retirement plans in flux: Why more Americans are reconsidering their exit timeline
Retirement plans in flux: Why more Americans are reconsidering their exit timeline

Many people have already continued working past their planned retirement date

Married retirees could be in for an $18,100 Social Security cut by 2032, CRFB says
Married retirees could be in for an $18,100 Social Security cut by 2032, CRFB says

A new analysis finds long-running fiscal woes coupled with impacts from the One Big Beautiful Bill Act stand to erode the major pillar for retirement income planning.

SEC bars New Jersey advisor after $9.9M fraud against Gold Star families
SEC bars New Jersey advisor after $9.9M fraud against Gold Star families

Caz Craffy, whom the Department of Justice hit with a 12-year prison term last year for defrauding grieving military families, has been officially exiled from the securities agency.

Navigating the great wealth transfer: Are advisors ready for both waves?
Navigating the great wealth transfer: Are advisors ready for both waves?

After years or decades spent building deep relationships with clients, experienced advisors' attention and intention must turn toward their spouses, children, and future generations.

SPONSORED How advisors can build for high-net-worth complexity

Orion's Tom Wilson on delivering coordinated, high-touch service in a world where returns alone no longer set you apart.

SPONSORED RILAs bring stability, growth during volatile markets

Barely a decade old, registered index-linked annuities have quickly surged in popularity, thanks to their unique blend of protection and growth potential—an appealing option for investors looking to chart a steadier course through today's choppy market waters, says Myles Lambert, Brighthouse Financial.