Gundlach sticks to his guns despite big drop in rival's Japan fund

DoubleLine's Jeffrey Gundlach says the Nikkei offers great long-term bets -- despite one fund's 5% hit on Monday
APR 23, 2013
Jeffrey Gundlach is standing by his call to go long Japanese stocks and short the yen. But he concedes that, over the short-term, the strategy could be painful. Mr. Gundlach, CEO of DoubleLine Capital and bond expert deluxe, first made his call in December when the Bank of Japan made clear its intentions to weaken the yen to stimulate its economy. It's worked out well for investors since then. The $5 billion WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity ETF (DXJ), which offers exposure to Japan without the yen, is up 20% since Mr. Gundlach's mid-December prediction. The iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ), which doesn't hedge away the yen, is up 12% over the same time. The problem now is, whether the yen has fallen too far too fast. After dropping 20% to the dollar from November to January, its been slowly edging its way back up. On Monday, the currency rose 1% versus the dollar, leading to a 5.4% loss in the WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity ETF. “I love it in the long-term,” Mr. Gundlach said on a Monday night conference call to introduce the firm's new equity fund. “It's so fully extended now we don't love it in the short-term.” That doesn't mean he thinks you should try to time it though. “It's too good of a long-term strategic play to try and get cute. You usually end up being out when it get backs to the winning side if you do that,” he said. Mr. Gundlach's never managed an equity fund himself, but he has shown he knows a trend when he sees it. He famously called the financial crash at the Morningstar Investment Conference in 2007. More recently he told investors to short Apple, which was on its way from $600 to $700 a share at the time. It's now trading at $430 a share, just above his $425 a share prediction.

Latest News

Morgan Stanley boosts returns on client cash, analyst says
Morgan Stanley boosts returns on client cash, analyst says

For years, large firms have been facing penalties and questions from regulators over interest rates for clients’ cash accounts.

Volatility has been roiling the markets. But advisors have got the tools to deal with it
Volatility has been roiling the markets. But advisors have got the tools to deal with it

Market volatility can be stressful, but it also represents opportunity for advisors and their clients.

JPMorgan's succession clock is ticking — and this time, insiders say it's real
JPMorgan's succession clock is ticking — and this time, insiders say it's real

After years of mixed signals and shifting timelines from Jamie Dimon, Wall Street sources suggest the race to lead JPMorgan Chase has entered its decisive stretch.

How FINRA's updated gift rule forces firms to rethink compliance workflows
How FINRA's updated gift rule forces firms to rethink compliance workflows

Advisors and broker-dealers adjusting to the March 2026 threshold change face bigger challenges around back-end monitoring than the new dollar limit itself.

Has Corient expanded again with another international acquisition?
Has Corient expanded again with another international acquisition?

Wealth management firm has seen an aggressive period of growth in the past year.

SPONSORED Who builds the income when the pension disappears?

Dan Biagini of American Equity says the steady decline of pensions, longer lifespans and a reset in interest rates are rewriting how advisors build retirement income

SPONSORED Why direct indexing stopped being optional

Direct indexing is on pace to outgrow ETFs and mutual funds. Northern Trust's Ken Lassner explains why the advisors who get it wish they had started sooner.