Schneider surprise: Homebuilders, carmakers could be good bets

Don't look now, but these hammered industries may be headed for a rebound, according to the the famed value investor
OCT 05, 2010
Banks, homebuilders and automakers all look like opportunities to John Schneider, president and chief investment officer of JS Asset Management LLC. “Deep value is what we do, and historically, now is a good time for this kind of strategy,” said Mr. Schneider, who has been hired to subadvise the new Highland All Cap Equity Value Fund Ticker:(HEVCX) for Highland Capital Management LP. Highland Capital has $24 billion under management, $3 billion of which is managed for retail investors. But the newest Highland fund, which has attracted $13 million since its April 13 launch, represents the first time the firm has used an outside manager for a mutual fund. Mr. Schneider, who manages $200 million through his own firm, was managing more than $10 billion under a similar value strategy in two mutual funds five years ago at Pacific Investment Management Co. LLC. “Value is the only strategy that has proven to outperform the overall market over the long term,” he said. It works, he added, “because we're looking at things that cause most people to have the initial reaction of ‘Why?'” Consider banks, for example. “They've never been so well-capitalized,” he said. Homebuilders are another area that a lot of investors continue to avoid simply because of the stigma of what helped cripple the financial markets a year ago. “Just like the banks, homebuilders are well-capitalized,” Mr. Schneider said. “Over the past few years they haven't bought much land and they sold homes at break-even prices.” The market meltdown also put half of all homebuilders out of business over the past two years, he said. At the homebuilding peak a few years ago, the industry was building 2.2 million homes a year, which compares with a long-term average of 1.6 million. Currently, the homebuilding industry is producing about 600,000 homes per year. While the residential property market across the country is still over-capacity, Mr. Schneider said that problem might be solved within a year. Supply and demand is also part of Mr. Schneider's case for automakers. Over the past 14 months he said the auto industry has produced about 11 million cars and light trucks. Meanwhile, the “scrappage rate” — cars and trucks coming off the road — is 13.5 million. “The aging of the fleet of cars on the road to such an extreme is already driving up the prices of used cars,” he said. The basic premise of deep value investing is to not do the same thing that every other investor is doing, Mr. Schneider said. “The idea is to go where others fear to tread,” he said. “And you have to do your homework.” Portfolio Manager Perspectives are regular interviews with some of the most respected and influential fund managers in the investment industry. For more information, please visit InvestmentNews.com/pmperspectives.

Latest News

RIA moves: Savant enters Thousand Oaks as Procyon lands in New Jersey
RIA moves: Savant enters Thousand Oaks as Procyon lands in New Jersey

Procyon adds $415 million in assets under management in New Jersey while Savant picks up a $213 million Southern California planning firm

Beyond sell or inherit: A third exit for appreciated property
Beyond sell or inherit: A third exit for appreciated property

With a growing number of real estate-rich Baby Boomers aging into retirement, some advisors may be failing to consider all the options available for those clients' assets.

AI marketing adoption gap costs financial firms revenue
AI marketing adoption gap costs financial firms revenue

Cornerstone Advisors study reveals compliance bottlenecks stall campaigns weeks after customer opportunities close.

HB Wealth enters Texas with physician-focused advisory team
HB Wealth enters Texas with physician-focused advisory team

A father-daughter trio managing approximately $700 million joins the Atlanta-based fee-only RIA, establishing its Austin foothold.

SEC alts proposals may spark compliance 'culture shock' for managers
SEC alts proposals may spark compliance 'culture shock' for managers

CFP, CFA and CPA holders could gain accredited investor status as regulators weigh wider private market access for advisory clients

SPONSORED In the Age of AI, Trust Becomes the Advisor's Greatest Asset

As AI makes financial information more accessible than ever, Lana Hock explains why human judgment, trust, and empathy remain the qualities clients value most in a financial advisor

SPONSORED Direct indexing webinar targets tax-loss harvesting amid market swings

Northern Trust’s Ken Lassner shows advisors how to convert volatility into after-tax portfolio gains