Dividend growth investing gains ground as market concentration rises

Dividend growth investing gains ground as market concentration rises
From left: Justin Samples, Nick Puncer, Christian Chan
Advisors turn to dividend growth strategies to diversify portfolios amid mega-cap concentration risk in 2026
SEP 28, 2026

After years of outsized returns concentrated in the so-called Magnificent Seven and a handful of other mega-cap growth stocks, market leadership is beginning to broaden in 2026 – and that shift is pushing more financial advisors toward dividend growth investing as a way to reposition client portfolios for the next phase of the cycle. Rather than a simple income play, dividend growth strategies target companies that consistently raise their payouts, offering advisors a different set of return drivers while helping clients balance growth, income and downside resilience.

A total-return tool, not just an income play

Justin Samples, private wealth advisor at Ameriprise Financial, said the first mistake investors make is treating dividend investing purely as an income strategy rather than a portfolio construction tool. For the last several years, returns have been concentrated in a relatively small group of mega-cap growth companies, and while that has rewarded investors, it has also built concentration risk into many portfolios. Samples said dividend-growing companies – often businesses with durable cash flows, disciplined capital allocation and mature business models – can offer diversification benefits along with a behavioral edge: a growing stream of cash flow can make it easier for clients to stay invested during volatility.

"Ultimately, the best portfolio is not simply the one that looks optimal on a spreadsheet; it is one that supports the client's financial plan and that they can stick with through a full market cycle. Given the extended period of growth-stock leadership we've experienced, we think dividend growth can be a valuable complement to growth-oriented equities; not as a tactical bet against technology or innovation, but as a way to diversify the sources of return within a portfolio," Samples said.

Nick Puncer, portfolio manager at Bahl & Gaynor, framed the case in terms of return-stream diversification rather than timing calls on when market leadership will shift. He said diversification is less about owning more securities and more about owning businesses whose fundamental drivers differ from what a client already holds – particularly if that portfolio is Mag 7-heavy. "We believe a worthy goal when considering changes to portfolio composition is to broaden the ways in which the portfolio can succeed rather than making tactical calls on when market leadership will change. Dividend growth can help through return source and underlying business diversification," Puncer said.

Why quality should outrank headline yield

All three sources agreed that headline yield is a poor screening tool. Samples said he would rather own a great company yielding 2% or 3% that consistently grows earnings and dividends than a struggling company yielding 7% or 8%, since an unusually high yield can signal the market doubts the payout is sustainable. He said his team weighs free cash flow, balance-sheet strength, payout ratio, earnings growth and management's capital-allocation record over the size of the yield itself.

Puncer added that headline yield reveals little about business durability, since it can simply reflect a falling stock price or an unsustainable payout. "Our focus is on companies we believe can support a growing dividend over time through cash flow generation, balance sheet strength, and other fundamental characteristics that can signal quality. A growing dividend payment is not only valuable as an income source; but also a tangible signal of management's ability to deploy capital and their confidence in future growth," he said.

Christian Chan, chief investment officer at AssetMark, described today's environment as broadly mid-cycle, with strong capital spending alongside late-cycle pressures such as elevated inflation and rising rates – a backdrop that favors quality dividend growers over the highest yielders. Chan also pointed advisors toward Europe, which offers higher yields, lower valuations and heavier weighting in financials, industrials and healthcare than a U.S. market concentrated in technology stocks dominating index-level returns. "At this stage of the cycle, I would favor companies that can grow their dividends, not simply those offering the highest yield," Chan said. For taxable investors, he added, after-tax yield matters more than headline yield, since "a dividend is only as durable as the cash flow behind it, and the yield that matters most is what the investor keeps after taxes."

Bridging fixed income and equities in retirement

For clients approaching or in retirement, all three advisors described dividend growth as a complement to fixed income rather than a replacement for it – a pairing that has drawn renewed attention as fixed income investors weigh quality against yield and risk heading into 2026. Samples said the goal isn't building a portfolio that generates enough dividends and interest to cover every dollar a client spends – that can push people to chase yield. Instead, he starts with the financial plan and layers multiple income sources: Social Security, pensions, interest, dividends and strategic withdrawals, since "for someone who may spend 25 or 30 years in retirement, that growth is critical."

Puncer said fixed income provides contractual income and stability while dividend-growing equities offer participation in long-term business growth, calling dividends "a tangible element of portfolio return that can replicate the familiarity of a regular paycheck for some clients." Chan agreed dividend growth should complement, not replace, fixed income, allowing retirees to diversify income across bonds, credit, real assets, infrastructure and equities while coordinating a tax-managed withdrawal strategy. The approach echoes broader retirement income planning coverage across the advisor industry, which has increasingly emphasized coordinating guaranteed and market-based income sources rather than relying on any single bucket.

The renewed advisor interest also lines up with the historical record: according to Ned Davis Research data cited in a 2026 Lord Abbett analysis, dividend-growing S&P 500 companies generated higher annualized returns with lower volatility than non-growing dividend payers, non-payers and dividend cutters over the more-than-50-year period from January 1973 through December 2025.

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