Results for "federal reserve"

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Are your clients ready for higher volatility?

January 12, 2018

If you have watched the market in the past 12 months or so, you may have noted a paucity of panic. A minimum of meltdowns. A deficit of drawdowns. And that brings us to today's topic: Is that worrisome? If so, is there a rational way to reduce...

Bear market for bonds has arrived, Gross says

January 11, 2018

Oprah Winfrey's Golden Globe Awards pronouncement that "Time is up" for men who oppress women also goes for the bond market that's been buoyed by repressed interest rates, according to Bill Gross. "Bonds, like men, are in a bear market," Mr....

Gundlach says S&P 500 will post negative return in 2018

January 10, 2018

Jeffrey Gundlach, the billionaire bond manager, says the S&P 500 Index will end the year with a negative return and is dubious of the long-term value of bitcoin. "All recession indicators are flashing no recession, which means it's priced in,"...

Inflation in 2018: How big is the monster under the bed?

January 8, 2018

Every adviser has a closet of anxieties, stuffed to the gills with brutal bear markets, roaring interest rates and blithering bitcoins. But one of the biggest monsters is probably insidious inflation, which gnaws at investment returns and devalues...

Tax overhaul gift may turn into lump of coal sooner than later

January 6, 2018

The so-called Christmas gift given to the country by President Donald J. Trump and his Republican colleagues — the tax reform law — might be enjoyable in the short run, but it could prove to be nothing more than a lump of coal to many Americans...

2018 outlook in bond investing calls for change

January 6, 2018

The bond market is bracing for change in 2018. With a backdrop of a handful of expected interest-rate hikes from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this year could represent the start of the first bear market in bonds since the 1980s. If...

Outlook 2018: Fund companies weigh in

December 21, 2017

2017 will go down in history as a very good year for stock investors. The S&P 500 index soared 21%, including reinvested dividends, and the MSCI EAFE international index jumped 22%. Even bonds eked out some gains, despite an increasingly hawkish...

Is the Trump effect over?

December 12, 2017

It's perhaps inevitable that 10½ months into Donald J. Trump's presidency we would pause to consider whether the Trump Effect has begun to wane. As Trump's first year in office enters its final stretch, advisers should be prepared to answer...

Brace for steepest rate hikes since 2006 in new year

December 11, 2017

Wall Street economists are telling investors to brace for the biggest tightening of monetary policy in more than a decade. With the world economy heading into its strongest period since 2011, Citigroup Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. predict average...

CFPB in flux as dueling heads show up to lead

November 27, 2017

The next act in the drama playing out over who runs the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau begins Monday as two people are expected to show up to lead the agency, and a federal judge will have to determine the finale. President Donald J. Trump...

Bond investors should prepare for string of rate hikes in 2018

November 22, 2017

Yield-starved investors likely will have more to nibble on now through 2018, as the Federal Reserve is widely expected to introduce between four and five interest-rate hikes over the next 13 months. While the bond markets have been treading...

El-Erian would be safe pick for Fed Vice Chair

November 15, 2017

Forming consensus in Washington these days can be a tall task. Yet when it comes to the leadership of the U.S. Federal Reserve, it is important that we elevate pragmatism over politics. The void left by the retirement of Stanley Fischer from...

Repealing estate tax could open new path to wealth for clients

November 14, 2017

As House and Senate Republicans pursue competing tax overhaul plans, financial advisers should be aware that one big disagreement is the estate tax. House Republicans want to repeal it in 2024 while their Senate colleagues want to preserve it....

Mohamed El-Erian in race for Fed Vice Chair: CNBC

November 14, 2017

The White House is considering bond guru Mohamed El-Erian for the vice chairmanship of the Federal Reserve, according to a report by CNBC. Currently chief economic adviser at Allianz and former CEO of its fixed-income powerhouse Pimco, Mr. El-Erian...

GE shows what can go wrong with dividend strategy

November 14, 2017

General Electric's decision to slash its dividend in half is a sharp reminder to investors that dividends aren't forever — and that the income from funds and ETFs can come at a high price. In the long run, dividends produce a third to a half...

Trump picks Jerome Powell to lead Federal Reserve at a tricky time

November 2, 2017

Jerome Powell, said to be President Donald Trump's pick to be the next Federal Reserve chairman, is set to take the reins of the world's most important central bank when the U.S. economy is rolling along at a pace he'll be under pressure to...

The history of bonds — at least since yields hit record lows last year

November 1, 2017

History, as Kurt Vonnegut reminded us, is merely a list of surprises. The next world war will certainly not start with the assassination of an Austro-Hungarian archduke. You're probably not going to make a fortune peddling pet rocks. On the...

Bond allocations: Be real, patient and flexible

October 30, 2017

Bond yields hit their year-to-date lows in early September with the 10-year Treasury yield getting as low as 2.03%. Low yields in the Treasury market are accompanied with historically expensive corporate and municipal bonds. Investors faced...

Prepare clients for the terror of falling markets

October 30, 2017

It's witching season and while our costumed children invade our neighborhoods for candies and treats, almost no-one considers the "trick" part of the equation anymore. It's much the same way for investors today; it's been nothing but treats...

Rushed tax reform would cause more harm than a delay

October 21, 2017

Time is running out for Congress to propose and pass a well-thought-out tax​ reform bill that includes a tax cut, and that's not a bad thing. The House of Representatives is scheduled to adjourn for the year on Dec. 15 and the Senate on Dec....

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