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The good and mostly bad of rising interest rates

January 31, 2018

When a racoon leaps at you from the back seat, causing you to run your new car into a bridge abutment, people will always point out how lucky you are. Hey, the bridge didn't collapse on you! Good thing you had insurance! Thank goodness the raccoon...

The mutual fund men's club needs more women

January 30, 2018

By now we know that having more women on leadership teams enhances businesses. We also know that women have qualities that make them good investors, such as their approach to risk. Why then are there still so few women money managers? The figures...

Bridgewater's Dalio says bonds face biggest bear market since '80s

January 24, 2018

Billionaire hedge fund manager Ray Dalio said that the bond market has slipped into a bear phase and warned that a rise in yields could spark the biggest crisis for fixed-income investors in almost 40 years. "A 1% rise in bond yields will produce...

Retirement risks keep rising

January 23, 2018

Half of working-age households in the U.S. were on track in 2016 to be able to maintain their standard of living in retirement, according to the National Retirement Risk Index report out this month from the Center for Retirement Research at...

House panel backs bill to scrap floating prices for money funds

January 22, 2018

The House Financial Services Committee has advanced a bill that would eliminate some of the strictures placed on the $2.8 trillion money market mutual fund industry in the wake of the financial crisis. The legislation, which was opposed by Fidelity...

Bond investors have more to worry about than a government shutdown

January 19, 2018

Bond yields have marched higher this year, and returns from bond funds have marched lower. Will a government shutdown make things worse? Probably not, provided it's a short-term problem. A bigger worry is a rise in overseas rates, which could...

Are your clients ready for higher volatility?

January 12, 2018

If you have watched the market in the past 12 months or so, you may have noted a paucity of panic. A minimum of meltdowns. A deficit of drawdowns. And that brings us to today's topic: Is that worrisome? If so, is there a rational way to reduce...

Bear market for bonds has arrived, Gross says

January 11, 2018

Oprah Winfrey's Golden Globe Awards pronouncement that "Time is up" for men who oppress women also goes for the bond market that's been buoyed by repressed interest rates, according to Bill Gross. "Bonds, like men, are in a bear market," Mr....

Gundlach says S&P 500 will post negative return in 2018

January 10, 2018

Jeffrey Gundlach, the billionaire bond manager, says the S&P 500 Index will end the year with a negative return and is dubious of the long-term value of bitcoin. "All recession indicators are flashing no recession, which means it's priced in,"...

Inflation in 2018: How big is the monster under the bed?

January 8, 2018

Every adviser has a closet of anxieties, stuffed to the gills with brutal bear markets, roaring interest rates and blithering bitcoins. But one of the biggest monsters is probably insidious inflation, which gnaws at investment returns and devalues...

Tax overhaul gift may turn into lump of coal sooner than later

January 6, 2018

The so-called Christmas gift given to the country by President Donald J. Trump and his Republican colleagues — the tax reform law — might be enjoyable in the short run, but it could prove to be nothing more than a lump of coal to many Americans...

2018 outlook in bond investing calls for change

January 6, 2018

The bond market is bracing for change in 2018. With a backdrop of a handful of expected interest-rate hikes from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this year could represent the start of the first bear market in bonds since the 1980s. If...

Outlook 2018: Fund companies weigh in

December 21, 2017

2017 will go down in history as a very good year for stock investors. The S&P 500 index soared 21%, including reinvested dividends, and the MSCI EAFE international index jumped 22%. Even bonds eked out some gains, despite an increasingly hawkish...

Is the Trump effect over?

December 12, 2017

It's perhaps inevitable that 10½ months into Donald J. Trump's presidency we would pause to consider whether the Trump Effect has begun to wane. As Trump's first year in office enters its final stretch, advisers should be prepared to answer...

Brace for steepest rate hikes since 2006 in new year

December 11, 2017

Wall Street economists are telling investors to brace for the biggest tightening of monetary policy in more than a decade. With the world economy heading into its strongest period since 2011, Citigroup Inc. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. predict average...

CFPB in flux as dueling heads show up to lead

November 27, 2017

The next act in the drama playing out over who runs the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau begins Monday as two people are expected to show up to lead the agency, and a federal judge will have to determine the finale. President Donald J. Trump...

Bond investors should prepare for string of rate hikes in 2018

November 22, 2017

Yield-starved investors likely will have more to nibble on now through 2018, as the Federal Reserve is widely expected to introduce between four and five interest-rate hikes over the next 13 months. While the bond markets have been treading...

El-Erian would be safe pick for Fed Vice Chair

November 15, 2017

Forming consensus in Washington these days can be a tall task. Yet when it comes to the leadership of the U.S. Federal Reserve, it is important that we elevate pragmatism over politics. The void left by the retirement of Stanley Fischer from...

Repealing estate tax could open new path to wealth for clients

November 14, 2017

As House and Senate Republicans pursue competing tax overhaul plans, financial advisers should be aware that one big disagreement is the estate tax. House Republicans want to repeal it in 2024 while their Senate colleagues want to preserve it....

Mohamed El-Erian in race for Fed Vice Chair: CNBC

November 14, 2017

The White House is considering bond guru Mohamed El-Erian for the vice chairmanship of the Federal Reserve, according to a report by CNBC. Currently chief economic adviser at Allianz and former CEO of its fixed-income powerhouse Pimco, Mr. El-Erian...

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